对朝鲜“真正”核战略的调查:与巴基斯坦案例的比较

IF 0.8 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
H. Park
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这篇文章的目的是确定朝鲜的“真正”核战略。本文采用“战略=目的+途径+手段”的结构进行确定,并与巴基斯坦的核战略进行了比较。这篇文章发现,朝鲜的核军备目标与巴基斯坦一样具有意识形态和侵略性,其核战略比巴基斯坦更接近“最低威慑战略”。朝鲜似乎比巴基斯坦更绝望,因为其严峻的经济形势和金氏王朝不确定的未来。因此,只要它有足够的战略能力,它就可以努力实现其目标,即韩国的统一。美国和韩国应该为最坏的情况做好准备,即朝鲜在美国本土和韩国受到核攻击的威胁下对韩国进行统一战争。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Investigation into North Korea’s ‘Real’ Nuclear Strategy: A Comparison with Pakistan’s Case
The purpose of this article is to ascertain North Korea’s ‘real’ nuclear strategy. This article uses the ‘Strategy = Ends + Ways + Means’ construct for the ascertainment, and it makes comparisons to Pakistan’s nuclear strategy. This article found that North Korea’s goal of its nuclear armament was as ideological and aggressive as Pakistan’s, and that its nuclear strategy is closer to the ‘minimal deterrence strategy’ than Pakistan’s. North Korea seems more desperate than Pakistan because of its dire economic situation and the uncertain future of the Kim family dynasty. It could, therefore, try to achieve its goal, the reunification of South Korea, as soon as it has sufficient capabilities for the strategy. The United States and South Korea should be prepared for the worst-case scenario, which is North Korea’s reunification war against South Korea under the threat of nuclear attack on the US mainland and South Korea.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
29
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