1990年至2015年巴西经济的结构变化

IF 1.8 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Economic Systems Research Pub Date : 2020-09-23 DOI:10.1080/09535314.2020.1802234

J. F. S. Sousa Filho, G. F. Santos, Luiz Carlos de Santana Ribeiro

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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文运用结构分解分析法（SDA）分析了1990年至2015年巴西经济的结构变化。新兴经济体的生产结构是一个重要的研究领域，因为它能够评估部门政策和技术进步，以支持长期的持续经济增长。这里描述的调查是使用投入-产出矩阵进行短期和长期分析的，这使我们能够验证12个总部门在生产、最终需求和技术系数变化方面的重要性。这一专题可用于任何其他国家的此类分析。结果表明，巴西经济的生产结构仍然脆弱，其增长依赖于需求冲击。此外，制造业仍然是能够促进生产结构变革的主要部门。

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Structural changes in the Brazilian economy 1990–2015

This paper analyses the structural changes in the Brazilian economy from 1990 to 2015 by applying structural decomposition analysis (SDA). The production structure of emerging economies is an important field of research because it enables the assessment of sectoral policies and technological progress to support sustained economic growth in the long-term. The investigation described here was conducted using input–output matrices for a short and long-term analysis which enabled us to verify the importance of twelve aggregate sectors regarding changes in production, final demand and technological coefficients. This topic could be used for such analyses in any other country. The results indicate that the production structure of Brazilian economy remains fragile and dependent on demand shocks for its growth. Furthermore, manufacturing industry remains the major sector capable of promoting structural changes in production.

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来源期刊

Economic Systems Research ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

5.60

自引率

4.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Economic Systems Research is a double blind peer-reviewed scientific journal dedicated to the furtherance of theoretical and factual knowledge about economic systems, structures and processes, and their change through time and space, at the subnational, national and international level. The journal contains sensible, matter-of-fact tools and data for modelling, policy analysis, planning and decision making in large economic environments. It promotes understanding in economic thinking and between theoretical schools of East and West, North and South.