全球大流行病对欧洲电力市场的影响

Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI:10.4018/IJEOE.2021070102
Mariusz Drabecki, Klaudia Kulak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球流行病引发的危机影响到所有经济部门。基于目前引人注目的新冠肺炎疫情,作者在本文中分析了它们可能对选定的欧洲电力市场产生的影响。为此,本研究对三个市场状况指标的演变进行了实证调查:电力需求、日前能源价格和活跃在发电行业的电力公司股票价格。以四个欧洲国家为例进行了分析,这些国家在政府层面对疫情蔓延的反应都不同:意大利、英国、波兰和瑞典。对2020年1月27日至2020年5月27日新冠肺炎在欧洲爆发期间的指标演变进行分析,并将其与前一段时间的行为进行统计核对。研究表明,全球流行病可能对电力需求和电力公司股价产生重大影响。然而,对未来能源价格的影响并不明显,似乎也不存在。
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Global Pandemics on European Electrical Energy Markets
Global pandemics cause crises influencing all branches of economies. Basing on the currently striking COVID-19 pandemic, the authors analyze in this paper to what extent they may impact selected European electrical energy markets. For this, this research performs an empirical survey of the evolution of three market condition indicators: power demand, day-ahead energy prices, and prices of shares of power companies active in the generation sector. These are analyzed on examples of four European countries that all reacted differently to the spreading epidemic at governmental level: Italy, the United Kingdom, Poland, and Sweden. The evolution of indicators is analyzed for the period of COVID-19 outbreak in Europe, from January 27th 2020 until May 27th 2020 and checked with their behaviors in previous periods of time statistically. The study showed that global pandemics may have high impact on power demand and on share prices of power companies. Yet, the impact on day ahead energy prices is less evident and seems not present.
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