犯罪控制效益的扩散：哥伦比亚的强制根除和古柯作物

IF 1.5 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Spatial Economic Analysis Pub Date : 2022-11-24 DOI:10.1080/17421772.2022.2151642

L. Morales, Eleonora Dávalos

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引用次数: 1

摘要

古柯种植面积不断增加的一种解释是，根除策略取代了古柯作物，但未能完全清除受影响的地区。在药物政策文献中，这种动态变化通常被称为气球效应。这项研究通过空间显式计量经济模型整合了地理参考农业数据，以检验强迫根除取代古柯作物的假设。利用哥伦比亚1116个相邻城市的年度数据，我们估计了一个空间Durbin误差模型。我们的研究结果表明，平均而言，一个城市的空中熏蒸会将这种犯罪控制策略的好处扩散到邻近的城市。

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Diffusion of crime control benefits: forced eradication and coca crops in Colombia

ABSTRACT One explanation for the increasing number of hectares of coca is that eradication strategies displace coca crops but fail to completely clear affected areas. In the drug policy literature, that dynamic shifting is commonly known as the balloon effect. This study integrates georeferenced agricultural data through spatially explicit econometric models to test the hypothesis that forced eradication displaces coca crops. Using annual data for 1116 contiguous municipalities in Colombia, we estimate a spatial Durbin error model. Our results suggest that, on average, aerial fumigation in a municipality diffuses the benefits of this crime control strategy to neighbouring municipalities.

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来源期刊

Spatial Economic Analysis ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

5.40

自引率

21.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Spatial Economic Analysis is a pioneering economics journal dedicated to the development of theory and methods in spatial economics, published by two of the world"s leading learned societies in the analysis of spatial economics, the Regional Studies Association and the British and Irish Section of the Regional Science Association International. A spatial perspective has become increasingly relevant to our understanding of economic phenomena, both on the global scale and at the scale of cities and regions. The growth in international trade, the opening up of emerging markets, the restructuring of the world economy along regional lines, and overall strategic and political significance of globalization, have re-emphasised the importance of geographical analysis.