交通运输的发展是西德经济奇迹的一个因素

IF 0.1 Q4 ECONOMICS
J. Myszczyszyn
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引用次数: 0

摘要

战后西德的经济政策在很大程度上与所谓的经济奇迹(德语:Wirtschaftswunder)联系在一起,因此其原因是许多不同分析的主题。它们包括德国经济增长率与运输的发展和运输潜力之间的相互关系,包括铁路和公路汽车运输。这一立场促使作者尝试寻找长期的相互依赖关系,从而通过对西德可用的时间序列(1950-1989)的分析,并使用该领域的原始计量经济学方法来验证论文,例如确定平稳性的单位根检验和恩格尔-格兰杰协整检验。本文除引言外,由三部分和结语组成。最广泛的一个包括在经验和方法层面上对研究过程的假设和阶段及其结果的描述。本文是在回顾国际上有关这一主题的文献、回顾德国经济奇迹的本质以及二战后德国经济增长和交通运输发展领域变化的主要趋势的基础上提出的综合理论基础。以这种方式提出的研究符合新经济史范式的原则,这在欧洲还不是很流行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Development of Transport as a Factor of the Economic Miracle (Wirtschaftswunder) of West Germany
Abstract The post-war economic policy of West Germany (FRG) is largely associated with the so-called economic miracle (German: Wirtschaftswunder) and therefore its causes are the subject of many different analyzes. They include the correlation between the rate of economic growth in Germany and the development and transport potential of transport, including rail and road-car transport. This position prompted the author to try to search for long-term interdependencies and thus verify the thesis using the analysis of time series (1950–1989) available for West Germany and using original econometric methods in this field, e.g. unit root test to determine the stationarity and the Engle-Granger cointegration test. In addition to the introduction, the article consists of three parts and conclusions. The broadest one includes the description of the assumptions and stages of the research procedure and its results, both on the empirical and methodological level. It is based on synthetic theoretical foundations presented on the basis of a review of international literature on the subject and review of the essence of the German economic miracle and the main trends in changes in the field of economic growth and transport development in Germany after World War II. The research presented in this way fits into the principles of the new economic history paradigm, which is still not very popular in Europe.
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