采用k-means聚类方法,根据阳性病例数、人口和区域宽度对covid-19病毒的传播进行分组

Asep Muhidin, Muhtajudin Danny, Elkin Rivali
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠病毒的传播于2020年初开始进入印度尼西亚。到目前为止,该病毒仍在印度尼西亚的几个地区传播,尽管在许多地区已经开始下降。). 人类直接接触的可能性取决于确诊阳性病例的数量、人口和地区。因此,本研究采用k均值聚类方法,基于人口、面积和确诊Covid-19病毒阳性的居民人数,寻找城市/地区区域组的特征。聚类过程首先使用肘部法找到最佳聚类数(K),然后使用轮廓法和davies-bouldin指数法测试聚类成员。肘部法得到的最佳K值结果为3个聚类(K=3)。3个聚类的K-Means聚类结果表明,在聚类1中,面积小但人口多的城市或地区,COVID-19阳性居民人数较多。在集群2中,即面积小、人口中等的城市或地区,COVID-19阳性人数很少。而在第三组,即面积大、人口少的城市或地区,COVID-19阳性居民的数量往往是中等的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Grouping the spread of the covid-19 virus based on the positive case number, population and area width using the k-means clustering method
The spread of the Covid-19 virus began to enter Indonesia in early 2020. Until now, the spread of the virus is still occurring in several parts of Indonesia, although it has begun to decline in many areas. ). The possibility of direct human contact depends on the number of confirmed positives, the population and the area. Therefore, this study looks for the characteristics of the city/district area group based on the population, area and number of residents who are confirmed positive for the Covid-19 virus using the K-Means Clustering method. The clustering process begins with finding the best number of clusters (K) using the elbow method and testing cluster members using the silhouette and davies-bouldin index methods. The best K value results obtained by the elbow method are 3 clusters (K=3). The results of K-Means Clustering with 3 clusters show that in cluster 1, a city or district with a small area with a large population, the number of positive COVID-19 residents is large. In cluster 2, a city or district with a small area, with a moderate population, the number of people who are positive for COVID-19 is small. And in cluster 3, a city or district with a large area, with a very small population, the number of positive COVID-19 residents tends to be moderate.
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