炎热市区天气对犯罪的影响

IF 5.2 2区 心理学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
J. C. Trujillo, P. Howley
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引用次数: 14

摘要

这项研究调查了哥伦比亚巴兰基利亚的天气和犯罪之间的关系,巴兰基利亚是一个位于热带地区的城市,与更常见的温带地区相比,巴兰基利亚全年炎热潮湿。我们的分析基于四个天气变量(温度、相对湿度、降水和风速)和两个犯罪活动指标(即杀人和人际暴力)的每日变化。为了帮助识别统计链接,我们为时间变量添加了控件。在估计中使用计数数据模型,我们没有发现天气模式和杀人案之间有任何统计上显著的关系。然而,我们发现天气可能是这一领域人际暴力的重要预测因素。这些发现让人们注意到,在世界上最易受气候变化影响的地区之一,在设计长期城市安全政策时,考虑天气因素的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Weather on Crime in a Torrid Urban Zone
This study investigates the relationship between weather and crime in Barranquilla, Colombia, a city in the Torrid Zone, which in contrast to more commonly studied temperate zones is hot and humid year-round. Our analysis is based on daily variations in four weather variables (temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, and wind speed) and two indicators of criminal activity, namely, homicides and interpersonal violence. To help identify statistical links, we add controls for temporal variables. Using count data models in the estimations, we do not find any statistically significant relationship between weather patterns and homicides. However, we find that weather can be an important predictor of interpersonal violence in this area. These findings draw attention to the importance of considering weather factors when designing a long-run urban security policy in one of the world’s most vulnerable regions to climate change.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
13.30
自引率
1.80%
发文量
13
期刊介绍: Environment & Behavior is an interdisciplinary journal designed to report rigorous experimental and theoretical work focusing on the influence of the physical environment on human behavior at the individual, group, and institutional levels.
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