哥伦比亚新冠肺炎疫情时间分析

NOVA Pub Date : 2022-09-13 DOI:10.22490/24629448.6187
Hugo Alexander Rondón Quintana, Carlos Alfonso Zafra Mejía
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究显示了截至目前(2022年3月1日至22日)哥伦比亚新冠肺炎的统计信息。具体而言,感染和死亡的每日、每月和累计演变与人口按年龄和性别的分布相关。客观的显示有关新冠肺炎的统计信息,以帮助在未来的大流行病中规划和设计哥伦比亚的公共卫生政策战略。方法。自哥伦比亚正式宣布疫情(2020年3月16日)以来的每日信息由国家卫生研究所获得,并整理在数据库中,以便进行相应的分析。将这些信息与基于文献综述获得的类似研究进行了比较。结果和结论。结果和结论与参考文献中的结果和结论相似:大多数死于新冠肺炎的人年龄较大,性别为男性。关于病死率(CFR),它是出了名的随着年龄的增长而增加。最脆弱人群的平均年龄≥52.8岁。弱势群体是30岁以下的年轻人,特别是10至20岁的年轻人。Gompertz和Logistic模型可以根据年龄从数学上模拟死亡的演变和CFR的演变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Temporal analysis of covid-19 in Colombia
This study shows statistical information regarding COVID-19 in Colombia up to this date (March 1-2022). Specifically, the daily, monthly and cumulative evolution of infections and deaths, correlated with the distribution of the population according to age and gender. Objective. Show statistical information about COVID-19 that allows help to plan and design, in future Pandemics, public health policy strategies in Colombia. Methods. Daily information since the official declaration of Pandemic in Colombia (March 16 – 2020) was obtained by the National Health Institute (INS) and was organized in a database in order to conduct respective analysis. This information was compared to similar studies obtained based on the bibliographical review. Results and Conclusions. Results and conclusions are similar to those found in the reference literature: most part of those dead by COVID-19 are of senior age and male gender. Regarding Case Fatality Rate (CFR), it notoriously increases with age. The most vulnerable population displays an average age of ≥ 52.8 years. The less vulnerable population are young persons under 30 years of age, but specifically, those within the age range of 10 and 20 years. Gompertz and Logistic models can mathematically simulate the evolution of deaths and the evolution of CFR according to age.
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