苏格兰和威尔士的选举命运分化:民族认同、国家利益和投票行为

IF 1.7 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE
J. Griffiths, R. Wyn Jones, E. G. Poole, J. Larner, A. Henderson, F. McMillan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

尽管英国的政治动荡程度非同寻常,但2021年苏格兰和威尔士的选举结果与2016年之前的选举结果非常相似。虽然这段时间包括2016年欧盟公投、英国脱欧和冠状病毒大流行,但这些动荡似乎对权力下放的选举结果影响不大。然而,从比较的角度来看,这种连续性只是强调了这些国家自1999年权力下放以来政治轨迹的分歧程度。利用20年来12项选举研究的个人层面调查数据,我们展示了民族认同和政党支持之间关系的变化模式如何推动了这些不同的轨迹。在此过程中,我们首次对两国长期以来的投票进行了比较分析。此外,我们还展示了民族认同如何有助于维持苏格兰和威尔士的一党主导地位。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Diverging electoral fortunes in Scotland and Wales: national identities, national interests, and voting behavior
ABSTRACT Despite an extraordinary degree of political turbulence in the UK, the 2021 Scottish and Welsh election results were remarkably similar to those recorded at the previous elections in 2016. While this period spanned the 2016 EU referendum, Britain’s exit from the EU, and the coronavirus pandemic, these upheavals appear to have had little impact on devolved election results. From a comparative perspective, however, such continuity only underlines the extent to which these nations’ political trajectories have diverged since the establishment of devolution in 1999. Using individual-level survey data from twelve election studies over two decades, we show how changing patterns in the relationship between national identity and party support have driven these differing trajectories. In doing so, we provide the first comparative analysis of voting over time in both countries. Additionally, we show how national identity helps to sustain single-party dominance in Scotland and Wales.
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来源期刊
Regional and Federal Studies
Regional and Federal Studies POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
3.80
自引率
21.40%
发文量
33
期刊介绍: The upsurge of academic and political interest in regional and federal questions since the 1980s has been stimulated by the salience of regions in EU policy-making and the Structural Funds but also by regionalization and federalization processes in many Western states. The most striking example is the devolution occurring in the UK, but the process is at work all over Europe and in other parts of the world. These developments have led to many important research programmes and projects. Regional and Federal Studies is a refereed social science journal which provides an academic forum for the publication of international research on these issues. It is essential reading for both academics and practitioners in politics, administration and the business world.
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