利用德尔菲技术对油气行业基础设施项目合同风险因素进行识别和利益相关者责任映射

IF 0.6 Q3 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
S. A. I. Tirmizi, F. Arif
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对能源的持续需求导致需要通过在包括巴基斯坦在内的世界许多地区执行各种基础设施资本项目来发展和改善石油和天然气基础设施。石油和天然气公司在实施这些基础设施项目方面有着丰富的经验,但许多此类项目面临延误和成本超支。未能实现项目目标可能是由于在合同文件执行前阶段没有识别和解决风险。本研究旨在确定为基础设施项目制定的合同文件中需要解决的风险,并将每个因素分配给巴基斯坦的特定利益相关者(客户、设计顾问、法律顾问和投标人)。通过文献综述确定了风险,并通过调查使用德尔菲技术进行了验证。24名调查对象是根据他们在巴基斯坦石油和天然气行业的资格和经验选出的。在第一轮德尔福调查中,协议水平验证了适用于巴基斯坦石油和天然气行业的风险。德尔福调查的第二轮调查重申了这一协议水平。它还包括使用McNemar测试来检查两轮之间反应的稳定性。结果证实,在巴基斯坦制定石油和天然气基础设施项目合同时,61个风险因素是需要评估的合同风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Identification and stakeholder responsibility mapping of contractual risk factors in oil and gas sector infrastructure projects using Delphi technique
The continuing demand for energy has led to the need for developing and improving the oil and gas infrastructure through the execution of various infrastructure capital projects in many parts of the world, including Pakistan. Oil and gas companies have vast experience implementing these infrastructure projects, yet many such projects face delays and cost overruns. This failure to meet project targets may be attributable to the lack of identifying and addressing the risks at the pre-execution stage in the contract documents. This study aims to identify the risks to address in the contract documentation developed for the infrastructure projects and allocate each factor to a particular stakeholder (Client, design consultant, legal consultant, and bidders) in Pakistan. Risks were identified through literature review and were validated using the Delphi technique applied through surveys. Twenty-four survey respondents were selected based on their qualifications and experience in Pakistan’s Oil and Gas sector. In the first round of the Delphi survey, the level of agreement authenticates the risks applicable to Pakistan's Oil and Gas sector. The level of agreement was reaffirmed in round two of the Delphi survey. It also included a check for stability of responses between rounds using the McNemar test. Results confirmed that sixty-one risk factors are the contractual risk for evaluation when developing contracts for Oil and Gas infrastructure projects in Pakistan.
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