系统动力学在危机管理中的应用:文献综述

IF 1.3 4区 工程技术 Q4 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Amr Saad Abdel-Latif, Ahmed Saad-Eldien, Mohamed Marzouk
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System dynamics applications in crisis management: A literature review
ABSTRACT Crises are dynamic in nature and usually associated with complexity, uncertainty, pressure, and loss of boundaries. System dynamics is an approach for understanding nonlinear behaviour of complex systems over time. Its inherent capabilities make it effective in dealing with crises' attributes. Accordingly, deploying this technique in managing crises will strengthen the process and ensure its successfulness. This premise had been acknowledged by many scholars and reflected in their researches. In the last two decades there were many system dynamics applications in crisis management practice. These applications were subjected to an analysis process to recognise its characteristics. The analysis process identified their evolution trend, scholars' origins, utilised tools, crises' types, unit of analysis, and applications' categories. These categories include analysis, decision support system, crises preparation, forecasting, enhancing performance, setting plans, and policies' consequences. This classification frame should add extra knowledge to academics and present best practices for managing crises to practitioners.
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来源期刊
Journal of Simulation
Journal of Simulation COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
16.00%
发文量
42
期刊介绍: Journal of Simulation (JOS) aims to publish both articles and technical notes from researchers and practitioners active in the field of simulation. In JOS, the field of simulation includes the techniques, tools, methods and technologies of the application and the use of discrete-event simulation, agent-based modelling and system dynamics.
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