印度-东盟贸易动态的实证分析

Pub Date : 2023-05-16 DOI:10.35716/ijed-22269

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引用次数: 0

摘要

采用进出口强度指数和双边显示比较优势(BRCA)指数对1997 - 2020年印度-东盟贸易进行了分析。本研究运用进出口重力贸易模型，进一步探索促进印度-东盟贸易的变量。结果表明，印度-东盟双边贸易在出口方面比进口更为激烈。1997年，印度在农业及相关产品方面享有竞争优势，到2020年，印度在制成品方面享有竞争优势。从1997年到2020年，印度对东盟的出口出现了轻微的结构性变化。在引力模型分析中，进出口流量主要由贸易伙伴的GDP和贸易开放度来解释。随着人均国内生产总值的增加，出口增加，进口减少。贸易成本对模型中的进出口流量产生负向影响。

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An Empirical Analysis of India-ASEAN Trade Dynamics

The export and import intensity index and bilateral revealed comparative advantage (BRCA) index were used to analyze India-ASEAN trade from 1997 to 2020. The study further explored variables in facilitating India-ASEAN trade by applying the gravity trade model of exports and imports. Results showed that Indian-ASEAN bilateral trade was more intense in exports than imports. India enjoyed a competitive advantage in agriculture and related products in 1997 and manufactured products in 2020. The exports of India to ASEAN exhibited minor structural changes from 1997 to 2020. In gravity model analysis, exports and import flows were mainly explained by trading partners' GDP and trade openness. Exports increased while imports decreased with per capita GDP. Trade cost negatively impacted export and import flows in the model.

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