贸易一体化和国内商业周期同步:1980年至2019年墨西哥各州的证据

IF 1.2 Q3 ECONOMICS
M. Gómez‐Zaldívar, Fernando Garcia-Barragan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究记录了贸易自由化对墨西哥各州商业周期的调整。它还分析了先前研究提出的作为这些周期同步的决定因素的各种因素的相关性。我们的研究结果表明,这些决定因素在整个样本期(1980-2019)都是相关的,但它们的相对重要性随着时间的推移而变化,它们的同步性也是如此。这可以解释如下:贸易自由化导致了区域和部门资源的重新分配,这反过来又导致一些国家根据其经济结构变得越来越相互联系,而其余国家与前一个国家的同步性降低。这种情况应该引起依赖世界资本和贸易流动的其他发展中国家的兴趣,如果这些国家的经济结构与墨西哥不同,它们的地区可能会做出不同的反应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Trade Integration and Intra-national Business Cycle Synchronization: Evidence from Mexico’s States from 1980 to 2019
This study documents the adjustment in the business cycles of Mexico’s states that resulted from trade liberalization. It also analyzes the relevance of the various elements that previous studies have proposed as the determining factors of the synchronization of these cycles. Our results reveal that these determinants are relevant throughout the sample period (1980-2019), but their relative importance changes over time as does their synchronization. This may be explained as follows: trade liberalization caused a regional and sectoral reallocation of resources, which in turn led to some states becoming increasingly interlinked based on their economic structures, whereas the remaining states became less synchronized with the former states. This case should be of interest to other developing countries that are dependent on the world’s capital and trade flows and whose regions may respond heterogeneously if they have diverse economic structures as those of Mexico.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
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