社会吸烟习惯的数学建模

IF 0.8 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
I. R. Sofia, M. Ghosh
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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要在本研究中,我们建立并分析了一个非线性数学模型,以研究吸烟的动力学及其对社会的影响。这是一个有四个隔间的模型,即潜在吸烟者、偶尔吸烟者、吸烟者和戒烟者。根据世界卫生组织的数据,每年都有大量与吸烟有关的死亡。考虑到这一点,我们将吸烟相关死亡纳入了我们提出的模型中。此外,我们研究了可能平衡的模型,计算了基本繁殖数,并研究了所获得平衡的稳定性。随后,我们将该模型扩展到随机模型,并对确定性和随机性模型进行了数值模拟。随机模型的结果与确定性模型的结果几乎相似。我们还探讨了与戒烟习惯相关的参数对偶尔吸烟者平衡水平的影响。我们还进行了灵敏度分析,以找到使繁殖数量发生重大变化的关键参数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mathematical modeling of smoking habits in the society
Abstract In this study, we formulate and analyze a non-linear mathematical model to study the dynamics of smoking and its impact on society. This is a compartment model which has four compartments, namely, potential smoker, occasional smoker, smoker and quitters. As per WHO, each year there is a significant number of smoking-related deaths. Keeping this in view, we have incorporated smoking-related death in our proposed model. Further, we investigate the model for possible equilibria, compute the basic reproduction number and investigate the stability of obtained equilibria. Later we extend this model to stochastic model and perform numerical simulation for both the deterministic and the stochastic model. The results of stochastic model are almost similar to the results obtained for deterministic model. We have also explored the impact of the parameters related to quitting smoking habits on the equilibrium level of occasional smokers. We also perform sensitivity analysis to find the key parameters which make significant change in the reproduction numbers.
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来源期刊
Stochastic Analysis and Applications
Stochastic Analysis and Applications 数学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
7.70%
发文量
32
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Stochastic Analysis and Applications presents the latest innovations in the field of stochastic theory and its practical applications, as well as the full range of related approaches to analyzing systems under random excitation. In addition, it is the only publication that offers the broad, detailed coverage necessary for the interfield and intrafield fertilization of new concepts and ideas, providing the scientific community with a unique and highly useful service.
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