通过随机优化重建种群：灵敏度分析

IF 1.4 3区社会学 Q3 DEMOGRAPHY

Mathematical Population Studies Pub Date : 2017-07-03 DOI:10.1080/08898480.2017.1330014

N. Bonneuil

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引用次数: 2

摘要

摘要:随机优化人口重建解决了从人口登记簿或人口动态统计和人口普查(如果有的话)中寻找人口流动的重要问题。这些流动允许重建存量(年龄金字塔和生命统计)。在回顾了重建方法之后，灵敏度分析表明，随机优化方法对有缺陷或缺失的值、重建周期的长度以及实际人口流动的变化具有鲁棒性。

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Reconstruction of populations by stochastic optimization: Sensitivity analysis

ABSTRACT The reconstruction of populations by stochastic optimization solves the nontrivial problem of finding demographic flows from population registers or vital statistics and censuses, if available. These flows allow the reconstruction of stocks (age pyramids and vital statistics). After a review of reconstruction methods, the sensitivity analysis shows the robustness of the method by stochastic optimization to flawed or missing values, to the length of the reconstruction period, and to variations in the actual demographic flows.

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来源期刊

Mathematical Population Studies 数学-数学跨学科应用

CiteScore

3.20

自引率

11.10%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： Mathematical Population Studies publishes carefully selected research papers in the mathematical and statistical study of populations. The journal is strongly interdisciplinary and invites contributions by mathematicians, demographers, (bio)statisticians, sociologists, economists, biologists, epidemiologists, actuaries, geographers, and others who are interested in the mathematical formulation of population-related questions. The scope covers both theoretical and empirical work. Manuscripts should be sent to Manuscript central for review. The editor-in-chief has final say on the suitability for publication.