欧洲30个国家的抗微生物耐药性预测

M. Z. A. M. Jaffar, A. N. Zailan
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引用次数: 4

摘要

抗菌素耐药性(AMR)已成为最严重的公共卫生问题之一,促使制定全球实施战略。在这项研究中,建议应用季节或时间序列方法预测7种微生物对其他微生物群的未知耐药百分比。2012年至2019年的年度数据来自欧洲疾病预防和控制中心(ECDC)的报告。微软Excel的预报功能。ETS的数据被用于预测目的。然后,对预测结果进行了简要分析。预测抗菌素耐药性的百分比使制定应对任何可能出现的情况的策略成为可能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ANTIMICROBIAL RESISTANCE (AMR)-FORECAST FOR 30 COUNTRIES IN EUROPE
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) has emerged among the most serious public health issues, prompting the creation of worldwide implementation strategies. In this study, the application of seasonal or time-series approaches was suggested for forecasting the unknown percentages of resistance towards other microbial groups for seven microorganisms. Annual data between 2012 and 2019 were acquired from European Centre for Disease Prevention, and Control (ECDC) reports. Microsoft Excel’s function, ‘FORECAST.ETS’, was used for prediction purposes. Then, a brief analysis was done on the forecasted results. Forecasting AMR’s percentage makes it possible to develop a strategy for dealing with any situation that may emerge.
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