{"title":"乌克兰战争:普京不可避免的入侵","authors":"Ivan Gomza","doi":"10.1353/jod.2022.0036","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract:The personalist dictatorship, or tyranny, installed in Russia contributed to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and how Russia has fought. Tyranny is belligerent because the institutional design imposes few constraints on a tyrant's decision-making. Moreover, this regime type exacerbates the ruler's personal beliefs and misconceptions. It has a distinct life cycle, with economic performance giving way to stagnation, which prompts diversionary wars. Finally, Ukraine was especially vulnerable to attack from a personalist dictatorship like Putin's. But due to rampant corruption, lack of information verification, and the ruler's penchant for micromanagement, tyrannies usually fight badly, which explains Russia's strategic failures in the early months of the war.","PeriodicalId":48227,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Democracy","volume":"33 1","pages":"23 - 30"},"PeriodicalIF":4.3000,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"5","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The War in Ukraine: Putin's Inevitable Invasion\",\"authors\":\"Ivan Gomza\",\"doi\":\"10.1353/jod.2022.0036\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract:The personalist dictatorship, or tyranny, installed in Russia contributed to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and how Russia has fought. Tyranny is belligerent because the institutional design imposes few constraints on a tyrant's decision-making. Moreover, this regime type exacerbates the ruler's personal beliefs and misconceptions. It has a distinct life cycle, with economic performance giving way to stagnation, which prompts diversionary wars. Finally, Ukraine was especially vulnerable to attack from a personalist dictatorship like Putin's. But due to rampant corruption, lack of information verification, and the ruler's penchant for micromanagement, tyrannies usually fight badly, which explains Russia's strategic failures in the early months of the war.\",\"PeriodicalId\":48227,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Democracy\",\"volume\":\"33 1\",\"pages\":\"23 - 30\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"5\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Democracy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"90\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2022.0036\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"社会学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"POLITICAL SCIENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Democracy","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2022.0036","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"POLITICAL SCIENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Abstract:The personalist dictatorship, or tyranny, installed in Russia contributed to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and how Russia has fought. Tyranny is belligerent because the institutional design imposes few constraints on a tyrant's decision-making. Moreover, this regime type exacerbates the ruler's personal beliefs and misconceptions. It has a distinct life cycle, with economic performance giving way to stagnation, which prompts diversionary wars. Finally, Ukraine was especially vulnerable to attack from a personalist dictatorship like Putin's. But due to rampant corruption, lack of information verification, and the ruler's penchant for micromanagement, tyrannies usually fight badly, which explains Russia's strategic failures in the early months of the war.
期刊介绍:
Since its inception in 1990, the Journal of Democracy has become an influential international forum for scholarly analysis and competing democratic viewpoints. Its articles have been cited in The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal and widely reprinted in many languages. Focusing exclusively on democracy, the Journal monitors and analyzes democratic regimes and movements in scores of countries around the world. Each issue features a unique blend of scholarly analysis, reports from democratic activists, updates on news and elections, and reviews of important recent books.