气候风险与金融稳定:中央银行的作用及其对俄罗斯的影响

IF 0.4 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
P. Levakov, V. Barinova, A. Polbin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

现代的主要挑战之一是气候变化,它正以前所未有的速度发生。这种现象还通过增加风险影响金融系统。为了应对不断上升的金融风险,世界各地的央行越来越多地参与气候政策。在本文的框架内,基于现代科学文献进行了分析,以评估中央银行在预防气候变化和稳定金融系统方面的参与程度,并评估其政策的有效性。本文确定了全球变暖对金融系统的潜在联系,并基于经验证据和数学模型的分析对这种关系进行了评估。此外,还估算了中央银行在吸引绿色投资方面的作用。本条考虑了发达国家和发展中国家中央银行对气候变化和金融系统不稳定的反应;特别是分析了所用仪器之间的差异。结论是,目前,发展中国家的中央银行正在推行更加积极的气候政策。最后,根据对国际惯例的分析,为俄罗斯联邦中央银行提出了建议,因为它面临着重大的过渡气候风险。关键建议包括需要区分抵押资产的价值,以及金融机构资产组合结构的监管要求,这取决于全球社会应对全球变暖和气候变化导致其价值下降的风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate Risks and Financial Stability: The Role of Central Banks and Implications for Russia
One of the key challenges of modern times is climate change, which is occurring at an unprecedented pace. This phenomenon also affects the financial system through increased risks. In response to rising financial risks, central banks around the world are becoming more involved in climate policy. Within the framework of this article an analysis based on modern scientific literature is made to evaluate the participation of central banks in preventing climate change and stabilizing the financial system, as well as to assess the effectiveness of their policies. The article identifies potential connections between global warming on the financial system and evaluates this relationship based on the analysis of empirical evidence and mathematical models. In addition, the role of central banks in attracting green investments is estimated. The reaction of central banks to climate change and the destabilization of the financial system in developed and developing countries is considered within the article; in particular, the difference between the instruments used is analyzed. It is concluded that, currently, a more active climate policy is being pursued by the central banks of the developing countries. Finally, based on the analysis of international practices, recommendations are made for the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, as it is exposed to significant transitional climate risks. The key recommendations include the need to differentiate the value of collateral assets and regulatory requirements for the structure of financial institutions' asset portfolios, depending on the risk of a decrease in their value due to the global community's fight against global warming and climate change.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
33.30%
发文量
24
期刊介绍: The journal mission is to disseminate Russian and international research in global governance, international cooperation on a wide range of social and economic policies; as well as to create a professional framework for discussion of trends and prognoses in these areas. International Organisations Research Journal publishes academic and analytical papers of Russian and international authors on activities of international multilateral institutions: G8, G20, BRICS, OECD, the World Bank, IMF, WTO, UN, and alliances: European Union, Eurasian Economic Union, Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and others. Analytical and research papers on international cooperation in higher education, trends in higher education developments at the national, regional and global levels are welcomed for reviewing and publication. The journal is aimed at researchers, analysts, practitioners in international affairs and world economics and at a wide audience interested in political issues of international affairs and global development. IORJ supports publications of graduate and postgraduate students, young researchers in Russia and abroad. All IORJ publications are peer-reviewed.
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