中欧和东欧的内阁改组和总理表现

IF 2.9 2区社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Government and Opposition Pub Date : 2022-07-26 DOI:10.1017/gov.2022.24

F. Grotz, C. Kroeber, Marko Kukec

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引用次数: 2

摘要

首相对议会民主的运作做出了重大贡献，但内阁改组可能会削弱首相成功运作的能力。新任部长可能缺乏政策专业知识，加剧内阁内部斗争，阻碍对政府官僚机构的控制。本文探讨了中东欧新民主国家内阁改组与总理表现之间的关系。基于1990年至2018年间涵盖11个中东欧国家131个内阁的数据集，我们发现频繁的内阁改组会降低总理的表现。特别是，属于除首相之外的其他联盟政党的部长的改组对首相的表现产生了强烈的负面影响，而核心职位的改组和首相党部长的更替产生的负面影响较小。这些结果对理解中东欧民主国家及其他国家动态环境中的行政政治和政府稳定具有重要意义。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Cabinet Reshuffles and Prime-Ministerial Performance in Central and Eastern Europe

Prime ministers (PMs) significantly contribute to making parliamentary democracy work, but cabinet reshuffles can undermine the PM's ability to perform successfully. New ministers may have less policy expertise, intensify intra-cabinet struggles and hamper the control of government bureaucracy. This article explores the relationship between cabinet reshuffles and prime-ministerial performance in the new democracies of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). Building on a data set covering 131 cabinets in 11 CEE countries between 1990 and 2018, we find that frequent cabinet reshuffles decrease prime-ministerial performance. In particular, the reshuffling of ministers belonging to other coalition parties than the PM's unfolds a strong negative effect on prime-ministerial performance, while reshuffles in core portfolios and turnover of ministers from the PM party have less negative consequences. These results have important implications for understanding executive politics and government stability in the dynamic environments of CEE democracies and beyond.

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来源期刊

Government and Opposition POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

6.70

自引率

10.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Government and Opposition has been a leading international journal of comparative politics for over 40 years. Its distinctive voice amongst politics journals has ensured a large, worldwide circulation. Government and Opposition"s interests include: - developments in the theory and practice of democracy, including significant elections the evolution of political parties, and the consequences of new political challenges for governments and oppositions - the governance of the global economy and the implications of interdependence worldwide politics - including the politics of the European Union - major issues of public policy, especially from a comparative perspective theoretical and ethical dimensions of political issues and policy.