绘制暴雨洪水风险区域的方法:案例研究-REBROVAČKI BROOK流域/班加卢卡市(B&H)

IF 0.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
R. Tošić, Vujadin Blagojević, Milijana Trifković, Tamara Sudar, Slavoljub Dragićević, N. Lovric, Ž. Topalović
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引用次数: 1

摘要

暴雨是最常见、最具破坏性的自然灾害之一,造成了巨大的物质损失和众多的环境问题。本文重点介绍了一种绘制暴雨洪水风险的新方法,该方法可能适用于波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的其他暴雨河流。利用河道和河谷横截面的大地测量和现有的数字地形模型,开发了一个混合数字地形模型。这是HEC-RAS软件中水力建模的基础。水文建模确定了100年和500年一遇的洪水流量,范围从23m3/s到88m3/s。水力模型确定了不同重现期的洪水深度、速度和程度、侵蚀和沉积物堆积值以及Rebrovački溪沿线的剪切应力。100年一遇洪水的最大流速可达11.07m/s,500年一遇洪水最高流速可达12.41m/s。100年一遇洪水的深度为3.96米,500年一遇洪水为4.67米。100年一遇的洪水范围为34.53公顷,而500年一遇的为46.11公顷。Rebrovački溪100年一遇洪水的剪应力最大为3482N/m2,500年一遇为5348N/m2。Rebrovački溪100年一遇洪水的侵蚀和泥沙淤积最大值为0.59m侵蚀和1.50m泥沙淤积,500年一遇为3.50m侵蚀和1.66m泥沙淤积。在编制洪水危险地图期间,提出了一个新的公式,确定了Rebrovački溪100年和500年一遇洪水的洪水危险等级。由此得出的100年一遇洪水的最大危险等级为68.90,500年一遇洪水为69.28,是冲积河流的数倍。Rebrovački Brook流域人口和经济类别的洪水风险系数是根据获得的洪水危险等级和用于计算洪水风险的校正加权系数确定的。Rebrovački溪不同重现期洪水的风险图显示,大部分泛滥平原目前处于可忽略或低风险区。然而,鉴于目前城市扩张和经济活动从中心向郊区转移的趋势,这种情况正在慢慢转变为高风险和极端风险。拟议的暴雨灾害和风险地图编制方法在波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的其他几个流域进行了测试,根据验证结果得出了可接受的结果,也为洪水风险管理、环境保护、空间规划和其他人类行动领域的众多研究和项目提供了良好的基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A METHODOLOGY FOR MAPPING AREAS UNDER TORRENTIAL FLOOD RISK: CASE STUDY - THE REBROVAČKI BROOK BASIN / BANJA LUKA MUNICIPALITY (B&H)
Torrential floods are one of the most common and destructive natural hazards that cause great material damage and numerous environmental problems. This article is focused on presentation of a new methodological approach to mapping torrential flood risk that could potentially be applied to other torrential rivers in Bosnia and Herzegovina. A hybrid digital terrain model was developed using geodetic surveys of cross-sections of river channels and river valleys and the existing digital terrain model. This was a basis for hydraulic modelling in HEC-RAS software. Hydrological modelling determined flood flows of 100 and 500-year return periods, ranging from 23m3/s to 88m3/s. Hydraulic modelling determined depths, velocities and extent of flooding for different return periods, values of erosion and sediment accumulation, and shear stresses along the Rebrovački Brook. Maximum velocities of 100-year flood flows range up to 11.07m/s and up to 12.41m/s for 500-year flood flow. Depth of 100-year flood flows range up to 3.96m and 4.67m for 500-year flood flow. For 100-year return period the flood extent is 34.53ha, while for 500-year return period it is 46.11ha. Shear stresses of the Rebrovački Brook for 100-year flood flows range to a maximum of 3,482N/m2, while they are maximum 5,348N/m2 for 500-year return period. Maximum values of erosion and sediment accumulation of 100-year flood flow for the Rebrovački Brook are 0.59m for erosion and 1.50m for sediment accumulation, while for 500-year return period they are 3.50m for erosion and 1.66m for sediment accumulation. During the preparation of the flood hazard maps, a new formula was proposed which determined the flood hazard rating of the Rebrovački Brook for 100 and 500-year floods. The resulting maximum hazard ratings of 68.90 for 100-year flood and 69.28 for 500-year flood are several times higher than the values obtained on alluvial rivers. The flood risk factors for the categories of population and economy in the Rebrovački Brook basin were determined on the basis of the obtained flood hazard rating and corrected weighted factors for the calculation of flood risk. Risk maps for floods of different return periods of the Rebrovački Brook showed that most of the floodplain is currently in a zone of negligible or low risk. However, given the current trend of city expansion and relocation of economic activities from the centre to the suburbs, this is slowly changing to high and extreme risk. The proposed methodology for developing torrential flood hazard and risk map, tested in several other basins in Bosnia and Herzegovina, gave acceptable outcomes according to the validation results, and also provides a good basis for numerous studies and projects in flood risk management, environmental protection, spatial planning, and other areas of human action.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
25.00%
发文量
42
审稿时长
12-24 weeks
期刊介绍: The publishing of CARPATHIAN JOURNAL of EARTH and ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES has started in 2006. The regularity of this magazine is biannual. The magazine will publish scientific works, in international purposes, in different areas of research, such as : geology, geography, environmental sciences, the environmental pollution and protection, environmental chemistry and physic, environmental biodegradation, climatic exchanges, fighting against natural disasters, protected areas, soil degradation, water quality, water supplies, sustainable development.
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