基于内外一体化影响的捷克高铁建设优先级评估

IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS
V. Pařil, M. Viturka
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引用次数: 2

摘要

从内部和外部一体化影响的角度对捷克共和国计划建设的高铁/高铁进行优先评估,无论是从技术和经济角度,还是从社会和地理角度来看,都是一个发人深省的话题。它的主要基础是重力模型的应用,根据重力模型,规划的路线C布拉格-维也纳在客运方面具有最大的潜力。接下来的路线是A布拉格-柏林,B布拉格-慕尼黑和D布尔诺-卡托维兹。随后,评估了质量参数的显著改善以及铁路运输的竞争地位可能产生的影响,包括将部分需求从公路和航空运输转移到高铁的潜力。然而,总的来说,可以这样说,高铁对捷克共和国客运增长的潜在影响并不重要。为了了解高铁建设的区域影响,还对2007-2017年NUTS 3地区的选定指标(每平方公里人口密度、人均GDP、失业率)进行了分析。从战略角度来看,研究结果并未证实高铁规划建设主要刺激区域发展趋同趋势是欧盟区域政策的主要优先事项。相反,高铁似乎更有可能刺激经济活动从“农村”地区向大都市地区转移。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of Priorities of Construction of High-Speed Rail in the Czech Republic in Terms of Impacts on Internal and External Integration
Abstract The priorities assessment for the planned construction of high-speed rail/HSR in the Czech Republic in terms of impacts on internal and external integration is a though-provoking topic not only from the technical and economic, but also from the social and geographical point of view. Its primary basis is the application of the gravity model, according to which the planned route C Prague-Wien has the most significant potential in passenger transport. Then following routes are A Prague-Berlin, B Prague-München, and D Brno-Katowice. Subsequently, the likely impacts generated by a significant improvement in the quality parameters and hence the competitive position of rail transport were assessed, including the potential for shifting part of the demand from the road and air transport to HSR. Overall, however, it can be stated that the potential impacts of the HSR on the growth of passenger transport in the Czech Republic will not be essential. To perceive the regional impacts of HSR construction, analyses of selected indicators (population density per km2, GDP per capita, unemployment rate) by NUTS 3 regions for the period 2007-2017 were also carried out. From the strategic point of view, the research results did not confirm that the planned construction of the HSR primarily stimulates convergence tendencies in regional development as the main priority of EU regional policy. Rather, it seems more likely that the HSR will stimulate the extraction of economic activity from “rural” regions in favour of metropolitan regions.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
10
审稿时长
38 weeks
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