外国直接投资与包容性增长:金融业发展的作用

IF 3 Q1 ECONOMICS
Emeka Nkoro, Aham Kelvin Uko
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究利用年度时间序列考察了1981-2020年期间尼日利亚国内金融部门发展在外国直接投资(FDI)流入与包容性增长之间的关系中的作用。分析上,本研究采用协整的自回归分布滞后方法。约束检验结果表明,包容性增长与金融部门发展以及其他潜在变量之间存在长期关系。实证结果表明,当国内金融部门达到一定的最低发展水平时,FDI对包容性增长具有显著的正向作用。结果进一步表明,FDI本身对包容性增长具有显著的负向影响。这意味着,只有外国直接投资并不一定会增加人民的福祉,除非金融部门发展达到某种最低水平。这证明国内金融部门的发展是FDI有效促进尼日利亚包容性增长的前提条件。因此,本研究建议,国内吸收能力的发展应通过推动将FDI流入转化为包容性增长的改革来扩大金融部门的发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Foreign Direct Investment and Inclusive Growth: The Role of the Financial Sector Development
This study examined the role of the domestic financial sector development in the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and inclusive growth in Nigeria over the period, 1981-2020 using annual time series. Analytically, the study employed the autoregressive distributed lag approach of cointegration. The bound test result shows that there is a long-run relationship between inclusive growth and financial sector development, as well as the other underlying variables. Empirically, the result reveals that the FDI exerted a significant positive effect on inclusive growth when the domestic financial sector has reached a certain minimum level of development. The result further shows that the FDI alone has a significant negative effect on inclusive growth. This means that FDI alone does not necessarily increase the well-being of the people, except when a certain minimum level of financial sector development is attained. This is evidence that the domestic financial sector development is a pre-condition for FDI to effectively promote inclusive growth in Nigeria. Therefore, the study recommends that the development of the domestic absorptive capacity-financial sector development should be extended by promoting reforms that will translate FDI inflow into inclusive growth.
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