G. Ougolnitsky, T. Anopchenko, O. Gorbaneva, E. Lazareva, A. Murzin
{"title":"作为空间经济系统发展利益协调工具的高级索洛模型","authors":"G. Ougolnitsky, T. Anopchenko, O. Gorbaneva, E. Lazareva, A. Murzin","doi":"10.25728/ASSA.2019.19.4.778","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The article presents a dynamic socio-ecological-economic model of the synergistic development of individual entities within the southern Russian macro-region, which allows to coordinate the general and private interests of each region. The maximization of specific consumption is proposed as a target criterion, regarding private interests – for the region, regarding general interests – for the macro-region. The model provides for the possibility of using the available resources of each region, both for solving the problems of its own development, and for the general development goals of other regions as part of the macroregion. The model is investigated using simulation modeling based on materials from the Southern Federal District. There are several debatable conclusions made after the research. Calculations, in particular, show that it is not profitable for any region to develop its own production sector in the current conditions, the optimal strategy for each of them is only to increase consumption in the hope of production activity in neighboring regions. In view of the selection of this rational strategy by all regions at the same time, general degradation of the production sphere and stagnation of the regional economy are forecasted. At the same time, it was revealed that a further reduction in production becomes unprofitable for almost all lagging regions (republics of the Southern Federal District), while inaction remain profitable for leading regions (regions of the Southern Federal District).","PeriodicalId":39095,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Systems Science and Applications","volume":"19 1","pages":"1-13"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Advanced Solow Model as a Tool for Coordination of Interests of Spatial Economic Systems’ Development\",\"authors\":\"G. Ougolnitsky, T. Anopchenko, O. Gorbaneva, E. Lazareva, A. Murzin\",\"doi\":\"10.25728/ASSA.2019.19.4.778\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The article presents a dynamic socio-ecological-economic model of the synergistic development of individual entities within the southern Russian macro-region, which allows to coordinate the general and private interests of each region. The maximization of specific consumption is proposed as a target criterion, regarding private interests – for the region, regarding general interests – for the macro-region. The model provides for the possibility of using the available resources of each region, both for solving the problems of its own development, and for the general development goals of other regions as part of the macroregion. The model is investigated using simulation modeling based on materials from the Southern Federal District. There are several debatable conclusions made after the research. Calculations, in particular, show that it is not profitable for any region to develop its own production sector in the current conditions, the optimal strategy for each of them is only to increase consumption in the hope of production activity in neighboring regions. In view of the selection of this rational strategy by all regions at the same time, general degradation of the production sphere and stagnation of the regional economy are forecasted. At the same time, it was revealed that a further reduction in production becomes unprofitable for almost all lagging regions (republics of the Southern Federal District), while inaction remain profitable for leading regions (regions of the Southern Federal District).\",\"PeriodicalId\":39095,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Advances in Systems Science and Applications\",\"volume\":\"19 1\",\"pages\":\"1-13\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-12-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Advances in Systems Science and Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.25728/ASSA.2019.19.4.778\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Engineering\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Advances in Systems Science and Applications","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.25728/ASSA.2019.19.4.778","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Engineering","Score":null,"Total":0}
Advanced Solow Model as a Tool for Coordination of Interests of Spatial Economic Systems’ Development
The article presents a dynamic socio-ecological-economic model of the synergistic development of individual entities within the southern Russian macro-region, which allows to coordinate the general and private interests of each region. The maximization of specific consumption is proposed as a target criterion, regarding private interests – for the region, regarding general interests – for the macro-region. The model provides for the possibility of using the available resources of each region, both for solving the problems of its own development, and for the general development goals of other regions as part of the macroregion. The model is investigated using simulation modeling based on materials from the Southern Federal District. There are several debatable conclusions made after the research. Calculations, in particular, show that it is not profitable for any region to develop its own production sector in the current conditions, the optimal strategy for each of them is only to increase consumption in the hope of production activity in neighboring regions. In view of the selection of this rational strategy by all regions at the same time, general degradation of the production sphere and stagnation of the regional economy are forecasted. At the same time, it was revealed that a further reduction in production becomes unprofitable for almost all lagging regions (republics of the Southern Federal District), while inaction remain profitable for leading regions (regions of the Southern Federal District).
期刊介绍:
Advances in Systems Science and Applications (ASSA) is an international peer-reviewed open-source online academic journal. Its scope covers all major aspects of systems (and processes) analysis, modeling, simulation, and control, ranging from theoretical and methodological developments to a large variety of application areas. Survey articles and innovative results are also welcome. ASSA is aimed at the audience of scientists, engineers and researchers working in the framework of these problems. ASSA should be a platform on which researchers will be able to communicate and discuss both their specialized issues and interdisciplinary problems of systems analysis and its applications in science and industry, including data science, artificial intelligence, material science, manufacturing, transportation, power and energy, ecology, corporate management, public governance, finance, and many others.