作为空间经济系统发展利益协调工具的高级索洛模型

Q3 Engineering
G. Ougolnitsky, T. Anopchenko, O. Gorbaneva, E. Lazareva, A. Murzin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文提出了一个俄罗斯南部宏观区域内单个实体协同发展的动态社会生态经济模型,该模型允许协调每个区域的总体利益和私人利益。具体消费的最大化被提议作为一个目标标准,涉及区域的私人利益,涉及宏观区域的一般利益。该模型提供了利用每个区域可用资源的可能性,既用于解决自身发展问题,也用于实现作为宏观区域一部分的其他区域的总体发展目标。该模型使用基于南部联邦区材料的模拟建模进行了研究。研究后得出了几个有争议的结论。特别是计算表明,在目前的条件下,任何地区发展自己的生产部门都是有利可图的,每个地区的最佳战略只是增加消费,希望在邻近地区开展生产活动。鉴于各地区同时选择这种合理的战略,预测了生产领域的普遍退化和区域经济的停滞。与此同时,据透露,进一步减产对几乎所有落后地区(南部联邦区的共和国)来说都是无利可图的,而对领先地区(南联邦区的地区)来说,无所作为仍然是有利可图的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Advanced Solow Model as a Tool for Coordination of Interests of Spatial Economic Systems’ Development
The article presents a dynamic socio-ecological-economic model of the synergistic development of individual entities within the southern Russian macro-region, which allows to coordinate the general and private interests of each region. The maximization of specific consumption is proposed as a target criterion, regarding private interests – for the region, regarding general interests – for the macro-region. The model provides for the possibility of using the available resources of each region, both for solving the problems of its own development, and for the general development goals of other regions as part of the macroregion. The model is investigated using simulation modeling based on materials from the Southern Federal District. There are several debatable conclusions made after the research. Calculations, in particular, show that it is not profitable for any region to develop its own production sector in the current conditions, the optimal strategy for each of them is only to increase consumption in the hope of production activity in neighboring regions. In view of the selection of this rational strategy by all regions at the same time, general degradation of the production sphere and stagnation of the regional economy are forecasted. At the same time, it was revealed that a further reduction in production becomes unprofitable for almost all lagging regions (republics of the Southern Federal District), while inaction remain profitable for leading regions (regions of the Southern Federal District).
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来源期刊
Advances in Systems Science and Applications
Advances in Systems Science and Applications Engineering-Engineering (all)
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: Advances in Systems Science and Applications (ASSA) is an international peer-reviewed open-source online academic journal. Its scope covers all major aspects of systems (and processes) analysis, modeling, simulation, and control, ranging from theoretical and methodological developments to a large variety of application areas. Survey articles and innovative results are also welcome. ASSA is aimed at the audience of scientists, engineers and researchers working in the framework of these problems. ASSA should be a platform on which researchers will be able to communicate and discuss both their specialized issues and interdisciplinary problems of systems analysis and its applications in science and industry, including data science, artificial intelligence, material science, manufacturing, transportation, power and energy, ecology, corporate management, public governance, finance, and many others.
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