我们需要谈谈:是否愿意公开谈论加泰罗尼亚的分裂

IF 0.8 Q3 COMMUNICATION
J. Balcells, Albert Padró-Solanet
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引用次数: 1

摘要

关于加泰罗尼亚独立辩论合法性无效的一个反复出现的论点是,存在一种影响联合派支持者的沉默螺旋。然而,我们发现不确定的经验证据来支持这一说法。尽管调查数据显示,在面对面和网络环境中,支持独立的人更愿意谈论分裂,但考虑到对舆论氛围的感知,多元回归模型揭示了一个不同的、更复杂的情况。支持独立的人被高度动员起来,尤其是在志同道合的私人环境中,但当他们意识到自己的想法不被大多数人认同时,这种热情就会下降,而支持统一的人则表现出更稳定的模式,无论舆论环境如何。在社交媒体等活动人士众多的公开场合,对话的意愿较低,双方的分歧也很小。总的来说,研究结果与沉默漩涡中预期的行为模式几乎不一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
We need to talk: Willingness to speak out about Catalonia’s secession
A repeated argument to invalidate the legitimacy of a debate on Catalonia’s independence is the existence of a spiral of silence affecting unionist supporters. However, we find inconclusive empirical evidence to sustain this claim. Although survey data show that willingness to talk about secession is higher among pro-independence supporters both in face-to-face and online environments, multivariate regression models – taking into account the perception of the opinion climate – reveal a different and more complex picture. Pro-independence supporters are highly mobilized particularly in like-minded and private environments, but this enthusiasm decreases when they perceive their ideas not to be shared by the majority, whereas unionist supporters show a more stable pattern irrespective of the opinion climate. In publicly exposed arenas like social media, where activists abound, willingness to talk is lower and differences between both sides are minimal. Overall, the results are hardly consistent with the patterns of behaviour that would be expected in a spiral of silence.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.20
自引率
20.00%
发文量
14
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