论国内贸易流量对贸易引力模型估计的作用

IF 1.7 4区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Contemporary Economic Policy Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI:10.1111/coep.12567

Yoto V. Yotov

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引用次数: 30

摘要

重力方程是贸易的主力模型。尽管引力理论有坚实的理论基础，并且从与理论一致的政策分析中获得了明显的成果，但引力理论与经验之间仍然存在差距。本文的重点是国内贸易流量，我认为，通过估计国内(除了国际)贸易流量的重力方程，坚持理论有显著的好处。我回顾了相关文献，并综合了在重力估计中使用国内贸易流量的15个论点。分析表明需要进一步的理论贡献和新的数据开发，并指出了更多政策应用的机会。

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On the role of domestic trade flows for estimating the gravity model of trade

The gravity equation is the workhorse model of trade. Despite solid theoretical foundations and clear gains from theory-consistent policy analysis, there are still gaps between gravity theory and empirics. This paper focuses on domestic trade flows, and I argue that there are significant benefits from adhering to theory by estimating gravity equations with domestic (in addition to international) trade flows. I review the related literature and synthesize 15 arguments for using domestic trade flows in gravity estimations. The analysis reveals the need for further theory contributions and new data developments, and points to opportunities for more policy applications.

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来源期刊

Contemporary Economic Policy Multiple-

CiteScore

3.10

自引率

6.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Contemporary Economic Policy publishes scholarly economic research and analysis on issues of vital concern to business, government, and other decision makers. Leading western scholars, including three Nobel laureates, are among CEP"s authors. The objectives are to communicate results of high quality economic analysis to policymakers, focus high quality research and analysis on current policy issues of widespread concern, increase knowledge among economists of features of the economy key to understanding the impact of policy, and to advance methods of policy analysis.