资本外逃程度及其对经济增长的影响:以东亚货币联盟国家为例

K. Sodji
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文估计了资本外逃的规模,并分析了其对西非经济和货币联盟国家经济增长的影响。在1970年至2019年期间,来自这些国家的实际资本外逃总额是积极和显著的,按固定美元计算,其规模为3107526万美元,占投资的17.40%。在过去四十年中,有六个国家经历了大量的实际资本外逃:科特迪瓦、几内亚比绍、马里、尼日尔、布基纳法索和塞内加尔。使用动态固定效应估计,本文发现,从长远来看,资本外逃显著降低了资本外逃为正的国家的经济增长,而在这些国家集团的情况下,负效应似乎不会随着投资而累积。此外,该文件建议当局致力于通过改善治理和提高机构质量来减少资本外逃。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Extent of Capital Flight and Its Impact on Economic Growth: The Case of WAEMU countries
This paper estimates the magnitude of capital flight and analyzes its impact on economic growth in the West African Economic and Monetary Union countries. Over the period from 1970 to 2019, total real capital flight from these countries is positive and significant with a magnitude that amounts to $31,075.26 million in constant dollars, or 17.40 percent of investment. Six countries have experienced significant real capital flight over the past four decades: Ivory Coast, Guinea Bissau, Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, and Senegal. Using dynamic fixed-effects estimation, the paper finds that, in the long run, capital flight significantly reduces economic growth in countries where capital flight is positive and that the negative effect does not appear to be cumulative with investment in the case of these groups of countries. In addition, the paper recommends that the authorities commit to reducing capital flight by improving governance and strengthening the quality of institutions.
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