通常的嫌疑人？非正常移民对犯罪的影响

Q3 Social Sciences

Desarrollo y Sociedad Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI:10.13043/dys.89.2

Juan Sebastián Franco Mora

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引用次数: 1

摘要

先前的研究表明，不规则的移民会恶化人们对安全的看法。然而，非正规移民对犯罪率的真正影响尚不清楚。在本文中，我们分析了非法移民流入对接受国犯罪的影响。为此，我们建立了一个数据集，其中包括2016年至2018年间哥伦比亚的委内瑞拉非法移民和市级犯罪率。我们的规范是基于IV策略，使用到边界距离的外生变化作为移民的工具。我们发现，移民冲击在短期内导致两种类型的盗窃略有增加，而暴力犯罪没有显著变化。当使用不同的工具变量、应用特殊的自相关校正并包括对警察能力的控制时，这些结果是稳健的。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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¿Los sospechosos de siempre? Efectos de la migración irregular en la criminalidad

Previous research shows that irregular immigration can worsen perceptions of security. However, the real effect of irregular immigration on crime rates remains unknown. In this paper, we analyze the effect of irregular immigration inflows on crime in the recipient country. For this, we build a dataset of Vene-zuelan irregular immigration in Colombia and crime rates at municipal level between 2016 and 2018. Our specification is based on an IV strategy using the exogenous variation in distance to the borderline as an instrument for immigration. We find that the immigration shock caused a slight increase in two types of theft in the short run and no significative changes in violent crime. These results are robust when using different instrumental variables, applying special autocorrelation corrections, and including controls for police capacity.

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来源期刊

Desarrollo y Sociedad Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations

CiteScore

1.00

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

12 weeks

期刊介绍： The Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad is an academic and open access journal, published each semester, that belongs to the Centro de Estudios sobre Desarrollo y Sociedad (CEDE) of the School of Economics at Universidad de los Andes (Colombia). The journal seeks to disseminate the investigations and academic projects develop at Universities and Research Centers, at a national and international level; it is addressed to economists and researchers of related fields. The special editions are selected aiming to choose topics highly relevant to the area of Economy. The call for papers is permanently open.