东南亚国家联盟贸易波动性加三：影响和决定因素

IF 1 Q4 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES

Asian Development Review Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI:10.1162/adev_a_00153

T. Nguyen, T. Pham, T. Vallée

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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文研究了东南亚国家联盟加三国（ASEAN+3）的贸易波动及其与产出波动、出口多样化和自由贸易协定的联系。为了实现这一研究目标，我们对所有东盟+3成员国在1990-2016年期间的数据应用了几个计量经济学估计。我们首先发现了产出波动性和贸易波动性之间存在正相关关系的证据。其次，我们揭示了衡量出口多样化的方式会影响其对双边出口波动的影响。此外，收入波动性、贸易波动性和出口多样化之间的关系似乎取决于国家规模和经济发展水平。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Trade Volatility in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three: Impacts and Determinants

This paper investigates trade volatility in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three (ASEAN+3) and its links with output volatility, export diversification, and free trade agreements. To achieve this research objective, we apply several econometric estimators to data from all ASEAN+3 member states over the period 1990–2016. We first find evidence of a positive relationship between output volatility and trade volatility. Second, we reveal that the way export diversification is measured can influence its impacts on bilateral export volatility. Moreover, the relationship between income volatility, trade volatility, and export diversification seems to depend on country size and the level of economic development.

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来源期刊

Asian Development Review Social Sciences-Development

CiteScore

2.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

53 weeks

期刊介绍： The Asian Development Review is a professional journal for disseminating the results of economic and development research carried out by staff and resource persons of the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The Review stresses policy and operational relevance of development issues rather than the technical aspects of economics and other social sciences. Articles are refereed and intended for readership among economists and social scientists in government, private sector, academia, and international organizations.