人口、制度和暴力冲突——基于资源的暴力冲突中人口压力有多重要?

IF 1.7 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI:10.1515/peps-2023-0004

Kwami Adanu

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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文考察了制度在解释人口密度、收入和高价值自然资源（石油）对暴力冲突事件的影响方面的调节作用。应用面板校正标准误差和泊松伪极大似然估计量。结果显示，人口密度超过每平方公里2293人会增加暴力冲突事件。此外，制度质量对暴力冲突事件具有调节作用——加强腐败控制减少了大量石油生产对暴力冲突的积极影响，并削弱了人均收入对此类事件的负面影响。研究结果表明，减少暴力冲突事件至少需要三件事：；（1）将人口密度控制在每平方公里2293人以下，（2）投资改善机构质量，（3）提高收入。

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Population, Institutions, and Violent Conflicts – How Important is Population Pressure in Violent Resource-Based Conflicts?

Abstract This paper examines the moderating role of institutions in explaining the effects of population density, income, and high-valued natural resources (oil) on violent conflict events. Panel-Corrected Standard Errors and Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood estimators were applied. Results show that population density beyond 2293 persons per square kilometre increases violent conflict events. Further, institutional quality has a moderating effect on violent conflict events – stronger corruption control reduces the positive effect of significant oil production on violent conflict events and weakens the negative effect of per capita income on such events. The results suggest that reducing violent conflict events requires at least three things; (1) keeping population density below 2293 persons per square kilometre, (2) investing in institutional quality improvements, and (3) raising incomes.

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来源期刊

Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

2.50

自引率

10.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The journal accepts rigorous, non-technical papers especially in research methods in peace science, but also regular papers dealing with all aspects of the peace science field, from pure abstract theory to practical applied research. As a guide to topics: - Arms Control and International Security - Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Studies - Behavioral Studies - Conflict Analysis and Management - Cooperation, Alliances and Games - Crises and War Studies - Critical Economic Aspects of the Global Crises - Deterrence Theory - Empirical and Historical Studies on the Causes of War - Game, Prospect and Related Theory - Harmony and Conflict - Hierarchy Theory