{"title":"布里亚特共和国经济发展前景","authors":"A. Baranov, Z. Dondokov, V. Pavlov, V. Suslov","doi":"10.1080/10611991.2020.2033530","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The article analyzes the development of the economy of the Republic of Buryatia spanning 2007–2017 and provides two forecast analyses of the republic’s economic development until 2021: the baseline forecast and the optimistic forecast. To generate the forecasts the authors used a dynamic input–output model of the Buryat economy that includes fuzzy parameters. It is shown that under favorable macroeconomic conditions and a sharp increase in fixed capital investment, it is possible to significantly accelerate economic growth in Buryatia. Specific projects that will accelerate economic growth in the republic are discussed.","PeriodicalId":85345,"journal":{"name":"Problems of economic transition","volume":"62 1","pages":"514 - 527"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Prospects for the Economic Development of the Republic of Buryatia\",\"authors\":\"A. Baranov, Z. Dondokov, V. Pavlov, V. Suslov\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/10611991.2020.2033530\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"ABSTRACT The article analyzes the development of the economy of the Republic of Buryatia spanning 2007–2017 and provides two forecast analyses of the republic’s economic development until 2021: the baseline forecast and the optimistic forecast. To generate the forecasts the authors used a dynamic input–output model of the Buryat economy that includes fuzzy parameters. It is shown that under favorable macroeconomic conditions and a sharp increase in fixed capital investment, it is possible to significantly accelerate economic growth in Buryatia. Specific projects that will accelerate economic growth in the republic are discussed.\",\"PeriodicalId\":85345,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Problems of economic transition\",\"volume\":\"62 1\",\"pages\":\"514 - 527\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Problems of economic transition\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/10611991.2020.2033530\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Problems of economic transition","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10611991.2020.2033530","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Prospects for the Economic Development of the Republic of Buryatia
ABSTRACT The article analyzes the development of the economy of the Republic of Buryatia spanning 2007–2017 and provides two forecast analyses of the republic’s economic development until 2021: the baseline forecast and the optimistic forecast. To generate the forecasts the authors used a dynamic input–output model of the Buryat economy that includes fuzzy parameters. It is shown that under favorable macroeconomic conditions and a sharp increase in fixed capital investment, it is possible to significantly accelerate economic growth in Buryatia. Specific projects that will accelerate economic growth in the republic are discussed.
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