{"title":"具有依赖增量的随机退化描述的项目的年龄替代策略","authors":"Ji Hwan Cha;Maxim Finkelstein;Gregory Levitin","doi":"10.1093/imaman/dpab014","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We consider a hybrid preventive maintenance policy. As in the classic model of age-replacement, a system is replaced either on failure or on reaching a predetermined age T. Additionally, it can be replaced on reaching a predetermined level of deterioration at some intermediate time in [0,T). We use a transformed gamma process with dependent increments to model the deterioration. A failure of an item occurs when this process reaches a predetermined deterministic level. We show that the proposed policy outperforms the classical one, that is, it achieves a lower value of the long-run cost rate. A detailed numerical illustration is presented and sensitivity analysis for the main parameters of the model is performed. The work in the paper makes an important contribution to maintenance modelling because dependent increments can better represent deterioration of a real system.","PeriodicalId":56296,"journal":{"name":"IMA Journal of Management Mathematics","volume":"33 2","pages":"273-287"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"3","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Age-replacement policy for items described by stochastic degradation with dependent increments\",\"authors\":\"Ji Hwan Cha;Maxim Finkelstein;Gregory Levitin\",\"doi\":\"10.1093/imaman/dpab014\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We consider a hybrid preventive maintenance policy. As in the classic model of age-replacement, a system is replaced either on failure or on reaching a predetermined age T. Additionally, it can be replaced on reaching a predetermined level of deterioration at some intermediate time in [0,T). We use a transformed gamma process with dependent increments to model the deterioration. A failure of an item occurs when this process reaches a predetermined deterministic level. We show that the proposed policy outperforms the classical one, that is, it achieves a lower value of the long-run cost rate. A detailed numerical illustration is presented and sensitivity analysis for the main parameters of the model is performed. The work in the paper makes an important contribution to maintenance modelling because dependent increments can better represent deterioration of a real system.\",\"PeriodicalId\":56296,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"IMA Journal of Management Mathematics\",\"volume\":\"33 2\",\"pages\":\"273-287\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-03-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"3\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"IMA Journal of Management Mathematics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9717048/\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"MANAGEMENT\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IMA Journal of Management Mathematics","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9717048/","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MANAGEMENT","Score":null,"Total":0}
Age-replacement policy for items described by stochastic degradation with dependent increments
We consider a hybrid preventive maintenance policy. As in the classic model of age-replacement, a system is replaced either on failure or on reaching a predetermined age T. Additionally, it can be replaced on reaching a predetermined level of deterioration at some intermediate time in [0,T). We use a transformed gamma process with dependent increments to model the deterioration. A failure of an item occurs when this process reaches a predetermined deterministic level. We show that the proposed policy outperforms the classical one, that is, it achieves a lower value of the long-run cost rate. A detailed numerical illustration is presented and sensitivity analysis for the main parameters of the model is performed. The work in the paper makes an important contribution to maintenance modelling because dependent increments can better represent deterioration of a real system.
期刊介绍:
The mission of this quarterly journal is to publish mathematical research of the highest quality, impact and relevance that can be directly utilised or have demonstrable potential to be employed by managers in profit, not-for-profit, third party and governmental/public organisations to improve their practices. Thus the research must be quantitative and of the highest quality if it is to be published in the journal. Furthermore, the outcome of the research must be ultimately useful for managers. The journal also publishes novel meta-analyses of the literature, reviews of the "state-of-the art" in a manner that provides new insight, and genuine applications of mathematics to real-world problems in the form of case studies. The journal welcomes papers dealing with topics in Operational Research and Management Science, Operations Management, Decision Sciences, Transportation Science, Marketing Science, Analytics, and Financial and Risk Modelling.