联合检验线性回归模型的误差方差和系数的结构变化

IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Pierre Perron, Yohei Yamamoto, Jing Zhou
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引用次数: 19

摘要

我们提供了一种综合的处理方法,用于联合检验包含平稳回归器的单个方程系统中回归系数和误差方差的结构变化问题。我们的框架非常一般,因为我们允许使用一般的混合型回归,并且对误差的假设非常温和。它们的分布可以是非正态的,并且条件异方差是允许的。还处理了具有串行相关错误的情况的扩展。我们提供了解决以下测试问题所需的工具:(a)测试给定数量的回归系数变化和误差方差;(b) 在某个预先指定的最大值内测试某个未知数量的变化;(c) 测试方差(回归系数)的变化,允许回归系数(方差)的给定数量的变化;(d) 估计当前变化数量的顺序过程。这些测试问题对实际应用很重要,宏观经济学和金融学的兴趣证明了这一点,在这些领域,记录简单自回归或向量自回归模型的冲击可变性的结构变化一直是一个令人担忧的问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Testing jointly for structural changes in the error variance and coefficients of a linear regression model
We provide a comprehensive treatment for the problem of testing jointly for structural changes in both the regression coefficients and the variance of the errors in a single equation system involving stationary regressors. Our framework is quite general in that we allow for general mixing‐type regressors and the assumptions on the errors are quite mild. Their distribution can be nonnormal and conditional heteroskedasticity is permitted. Extensions to the case with serially correlated errors are also treated. We provide the required tools to address the following testing problems, among others: (a) testing for given numbers of changes in regression coefficients and variance of the errors; (b) testing for some unknown number of changes within some prespecified maximum; (c) testing for changes in variance (regression coefficients) allowing for a given number of changes in the regression coefficients (variance); (d) a sequential procedure to estimate the number of changes present. These testing problems are important for practical applications as witnessed by interests in macroeconomics and finance where documenting structural changes in the variability of shocks to simple autoregressions or vector autoregressive models have been a concern.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
5.60%
发文量
28
审稿时长
52 weeks
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