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引用次数: 1
摘要
由于可复制性是每一项科学努力的重要组成部分,本研究涉及比较和对比参数估计、标准误差和应用计量经济学中常见的五种非线性模型的估计的p值。在五个复制练习中使用计量经济学和统计学的常见软件包,即EVIEWS 11.0, SAS 9.4, Stata 17和R 4.1.2,以确定实证结果中的潜在差异(如果有的话)。对于多项式分布滞后(PDL)模型和GARCH(1,1)模型,证实了主流软件包在非线性模型估计中产生不同经验结果的假设。对于probit模型和Barten综合需求系统模型,在四个常用软件包中,参数估计、标准误差和p值的差异不太明显。对于Tobit模型,在不同的软件包中,参数估计、标准误差和p值的集合几乎是相同的。经济分析师不应该不加批判地接受评估结果,相反,应该使用至少两个软件包进行敏感性分析。农业经济学专业应采用这一建议作为标准做法。
On the robustness/replication of econometric analyses from nonlinear models using various commonplace software packages
Because replicability is an important part of every scientific endeavor, this research deals with comparing and contrasting parameter estimates, standard errors, and p-values from the estimation of five commonly encountered nonlinear models in applied econometrics. Commonplace software packages indigenous to econometrics and statistics are used, namely EVIEWS 11.0, SAS 9.4, Stata 17, and R 4.1.2 in five replication exercises to determine potential differences, if any, in empirical results. The hypothesis that mainstream software packages generate different empirical results in the estimation of nonlinear models is confirmed for the polynomial distributed lag (PDL) model and the GARCH(1,1) model. For the probit model and the Barten synthetic demand system model, the differences in parameter estimates, standard errors, and p-values are less evident across the four commonly used software packages. For the Tobit model, the respective sets of parameter estimates, standard errors, and p-values are nearly identical across the respective software packages. Economic analysts should not just accept estimation results uncritically, but instead, conduct sensitivity analyses involving the use of at least two software packages. The agricultural economics profession should adopt this recommendation as standard practice.
期刊介绍:
Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy provides a forum to address contemporary and emerging policy issues within an economic framework that informs the decision-making and policy-making community.
AEPP welcomes submissions related to the economics of public policy themes associated with agriculture; animal, plant, and human health; energy; environment; food and consumer behavior; international development; natural hazards; natural resources; population and migration; and regional and rural development.