项目实施过程中企业内外部环境风险因素的确定

T. Shtal, T. Pliekhanova, Kyrylo Kravets, Nataliia Ohiienko
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在头五年内,不同经济部门的各种所有制形式的新企业中有很大一部分已经不复存在。这种关闭企业的趋势表明,需要对企业发展进行战略规划,并在企业发展战略管理中实施风险因素识别、评估和管理流程。研究的目的是制定一种方法论方法,以确定在分析项目的每个生命周期阶段可能产生最大影响的风险因素。为了实现在研究框架内设定的目标,采用了系统化、概括化、科学抽象化和层次分析的方法,进行了结构和逻辑分析。文章提出了确定企业内外部环境风险因素的方法论方法,从而有可能确定项目生命周期各个阶段影响最大的风险因素。已经获得了数学模型,可以识别那些可能产生最大负面影响的风险因素(包括发生频率和潜在损失),这将使企业能够在项目实施的各个阶段提高管理这些风险的效率。风险因素的影响是在不完全确定和缺乏足够统计信息的情况下评估的。所获得的结果的实际意义在于有可能提高风险管理过程中使用可用资源的效率。所提出的方法论方法可用于评估某个行业中项目风险的影响,这将提高所获得结果的准确性
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk factors determination of enterprise external and internal environment during project implementation
A significant part of new enterprises of various forms of ownership and in different sectors of the economy ceases to exist within the first five years. This tendency to close enterprises indicates the need for strategic planning of enterprise development and the implementation of a risk factor identification, evaluation, and management process in the strategic management of enterprise development. The purpose of the research is to develop a methodological approach that would allow identifying the risk factors that may have the greatest impact at each life cycle stage of analysed project. To achieve the goal set within the framework of the research, structural and logical analysis, methods of systematisation, generalisation, scientific abstraction and hierarchy analysis were used. The article proposes methodological approach to determining the risk factors of enterprise external and internal environment, which makes it possible to identify the risk factors that have the greatest impact at each stage of the project life cycle. Mathematical models have been obtained which allow for the identification of those risk factors that can have the most negative impact (both in terms of frequency of occurrence and potential losses), which will enable the enterprise to increase the efficiency of managing these risks at all stages of project implementation. The impact of risk factors has been assessed in conditions of incomplete certainty and lack of sufficient statistical information. The practical significance of the results obtained lies in the possibility of increasing the efficiency of using available resources in risk management processes. The proposed methodological approach can be used to assess the impact of project risks in a certain industry, which will increase the accuracy of the results obtained
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