探讨高级摩托车手伤害严重程度碰撞:均值和方差异质性的随机参数模型

IF 3.2 Q3 TRANSPORTATION
Hamsa Zubaidi , Reuben Tamakloe , Nabeel Saleem Saad Al-Bdairi , Ali Alnedawi , Ihsan Obaid
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引用次数: 2

摘要

按登记车辆和车辆行驶里程计算,摩托车手的死亡率大大高于乘用车乘客。关于老年人(≥65岁)摩托车损伤严重程度相关因素的信息有限。因此,基于佛罗里达州7年(2012-2018年)路口和非路口道路两个不同位置的碰撞数据库,建立了均值和方差均具有异质性的随机参数logit模型。约有30个指标变量对交叉口和非交叉口碰撞均具有显著性,并按驾驶员、时间、空间、道路和其他特征、驾驶员行为和碰撞类型进行分类。有几个因素直接影响了十字路口的致命伤害,而没有交叉路口的碰撞。然而,超速、黑暗和早晨的撞车事故在这两个地方都是一样的。本文强调了在分析过程中考虑特定碰撞位置的重要性,以尽量减少任何可能的错误和不可靠的对策。提出了各种对策,以协助安全当局和政策制定者减轻与碰撞有关的高级摩托车手的伤害严重程度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exploring senior motorcyclist injury severity crashes: Random parameter model with heterogeneity in mean and variance

The fatality rates of motorcyclists are substantially higher than for passenger car occupants per registered vehicle and vehicle miles traveled. There is limited information regarding the contributing factors associated with motorcycle injury severity among senior riders (≥65 years). Therefore, random parameter logit models with heterogeneity in mean and variance were developed based on seven years (2012–2018) crashes database at two different locations, intersection and non-intersection roadways in Florida. About 30 indicator variables were significant for both intersection and non-intersection crashes and were categorized under the driver, temporal, spatial, roadway, and other characteristics, driver action, and crash type. Several factors were found to impact the fatal injuries at the intersection directly, and no intersection crashes. However, speeding, dark, and morning crashes are shared by both locations. This paper highlights the importance of considering a specific crash location during the analysis to minimize any possible erroneous and unreliable countermeasures. Various countermeasures were proposed to assist the safety authorities and policymakers to mitigate the senior motorcyclist injury severities related to crashes.

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来源期刊
IATSS Research
IATSS Research TRANSPORTATION-
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
6.20%
发文量
44
审稿时长
42 weeks
期刊介绍: First published in 1977 as an international journal sponsored by the International Association of Traffic and Safety Sciences, IATSS Research has contributed to the dissemination of interdisciplinary wisdom on ideal mobility, particularly in Asia. IATSS Research is an international refereed journal providing a platform for the exchange of scientific findings on transportation and safety across a wide range of academic fields, with particular emphasis on the links between scientific findings and practice in society and cultural contexts. IATSS Research welcomes submission of original research articles and reviews that satisfy the following conditions: 1.Relevant to transportation and safety, and the multiple impacts of transportation systems on security, human health, and the environment. 2.Contains important policy and practical implications based on scientific evidence in the applicable academic field. In addition to welcoming general submissions, IATSS Research occasionally plans and publishes special feature sections and special issues composed of invited articles addressing specific topics.
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