分析尼泊尔外交政策:一个对冲的视角

IF 0.8 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Raunak Mainali
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于对印度的严重依赖,尼泊尔采取了一项对冲政策,以减轻潜在的伤害。这种依赖的有害后果在2015年得到了体现,当时尼泊尔正在从地震中恢复,而南部与印度边境的封锁给尼泊尔造成了巨大的经济损失。为了避免重蹈覆辙,尼泊尔选择了与中国建立更密切的关系。本文分析并概述了尼泊尔如何部署这种对冲策略。它认为,尼泊尔与中国的关系虽然有所改善,但还不够,因为印度仍然保持着对尼泊尔经济的垄断。中印关系日益敌对和两极化的本质也意味着两面下注不是一种可持续的政策,如果地区大国之间的竞争恶化,尼泊尔可能被迫选边站。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysing Nepal’s Foreign Policy: A Hedging Perspective
Wary of their significant dependence on India, Nepal has pursued a policy of hedging in order to mitigate potential harm. The harmful consequences of this dependence were on display in 2015 when a blockade along the southern border with India resulted in massive economic losses for Nepal at a time when the nation was recovering from an earthquake. To insure themselves against a similar fate in the future, Nepal has chosen to hedge by pursuing closer relations with China. This article analyses and outlines how Nepal has deployed this hedging strategy. It argues that Nepal’s relations with China, albeit improved, is not enough as India still retains a monopoly on Nepal’s economy. The increasingly hostile and polarised nature of Sino-Indian relations also means that hedging is not a sustainable policy, and if the rivalry between the regional powers worsen, Nepal may be forced to pick a side.
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CiteScore
1.50
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29
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