一个传播分裂思想不同观点的竞争感染模型

IF 1.3 4区社会学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS

Journal of Mathematical Sociology Pub Date : 2018-12-30 DOI:10.1080/0022250X.2018.1555828

Benjamin R. Chisholm, P. Muller, A. J. Horn, Zachary S. Ellis

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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要：我们开发了一个非网络的、确定性的、竞争性的感染模型，用于传播一个分裂思想的两个竞争性观点，该观点除了人际互动外，还包含外部因素。我们认为分裂性的想法具有两极分化的支持，即不存在“灰色阴影”。提出的在人群中传播对这种想法的竞争性支持和怀疑的模型是基于流行病学和竞争性物种模型的。然后在2016年共和党初选的案例研究中对该模型进行了定性和定量分析。对这些数据的参数拟合表明，所提出的模型对于分裂思想的观点传播是合理的。

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A competing infection model for the spread of different viewpoints of a divisive idea

ABSTRACT We develop a non-network, deterministic, competing infections model for the spread of two competing viewpoints of a divisive idea that incorporates external factors in addition to interpersonal interactions. We consider divisive ideas to have polarizing support, i.e. there are no “shades of grey.” The proposed model for the spread of the competing support and skepticism of such an idea within a population is based on both epidemiological and competing species models. The model is then analyzed qualitatively and quantitatively in a case study of the 2016 Republican primary polls. Parameter fitting to this data shows the proposed model is plausible for the spread of viewpoints of a divisive idea.

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来源期刊

Journal of Mathematical Sociology 数学-数学跨学科应用

CiteScore

2.90

自引率

10.00%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： The goal of the Journal of Mathematical Sociology is to publish models and mathematical techniques that would likely be useful to professional sociologists. The Journal also welcomes papers of mutual interest to social scientists and other social and behavioral scientists, as well as papers by non-social scientists that may encourage fruitful connections between sociology and other disciplines. Reviews of new or developing areas of mathematics and mathematical modeling that may have significant applications in sociology will also be considered. The Journal of Mathematical Sociology is published in association with the International Network for Social Network Analysis, the Japanese Association for Mathematical Sociology, the Mathematical Sociology Section of the American Sociological Association, and the Methodology Section of the American Sociological Association.