自然资源开发对CEMAC国家发展的影响:人力资本渠道

Ghamsi Deffo Salomon Leroy, Ajoumessi Houmpe Donal, Demgne Pouokam Véronique, Njoupouognigni Moussa Ledoux
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究的目的是确定自然资源开发对中非经货共同体国家发展的影响,并考察人力资本作为一种传播渠道。设计/方法/方法:为了实现我们的目标,我们在2002-2018年期间制定了一个由6个中非经货共同体国家组成的小组。市场上自然资源价格的飙升以及两次大规模外部冲击(次贷危机和2015年石油危机)后基本资源价格的下跌证明了这一研究时期的合理性。估计方法采用固定效应、两阶段最小二乘法和信息有限的最大似然法。研究结果:固定效应法估算结果表明,以总租金、石油租金和森林租金衡量的自然资源丰度对经济发展具有负面影响。同样,人力资本也有助于这些影响的传递。当我们考虑总租金、石油租金和森林租金时,自然资源不再对经济发展产生负面影响的最低教育率(以GDP的对数衡量)分别约为0.52、0.51和0.48。这一结果通过采用有限信息的最大似然和两阶段最小二乘法得到了证实。研究局限性/影响:本研究在时间和空间上都是有限的。此外,没有考虑到某些人力资本或发展变量。独创性/价值:在关于自然资源诅咒的文献中,对发展中国家传播渠道的分析在很大程度上仍未被探索。本文所研究的人力资本构成是中非经货共同体国家的第一个案例。此外,我们还研究了许多资源的影响,包括可再生资源和不可再生资源。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effects of Natural Resource exploitation on CEMAC Countries Development: The Human Capital Channel
Purpose: The aim of this study is to determine the effect of the exploitation of natural resources on the development of CEMAC countries and to examine human capital as a transmission channel. Design/methodology/approach: In order to achieve our goal, we formulate a panel of 6 CEMAC countries over the period 2002-2018. This period of study is justified by the surge in the prices of natural resources in the market and also a fall of the prices of basic resources following two large exogenous shocks (subprime crisis and 2015 oil crisis). The estimation method use is the fixe effect, two stage least square and the Maximum likelihood with limited information. Findings: Of the estimation by the fixed-effect method show that natural resources abundance measured by: total rent, oil rent and forest rent has a negative effect on economic development. Likewise, human capital contributes to the transmission of these effects. The minimum education rate beyond which natural resources no longer have a negative effect on economic development, measured by the logarithm of GDP, is approximately 0.52, 0.51 and 0.48 respectively when we consider the total rent, the oil rent and the forest rent. This result is confirmed with the adoption of Maximum likelihood with limited information and the Two Stage Least Squared. Research limitations/implications: This study is limited in time and space. Moreover, the failure to take into account certain human capital or development variables. Originality/value: In the literature on the natural resources curse, the analysis of transmission channels in developing countries remains largely unexplored. The human capital component studied in this article is one of the first in the case of CEMAC countries. Also, we studied the effect of many resources, both renewable and non-renewable.
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