太阳能地球工程科学的传播:偏斜的形式、例子和解释

Jesse L. Reynolds
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引用次数: 3

摘要

尽管明智地使用太阳辐射改造(SRM,或太阳能地球工程)似乎能够减少气候变化,但SRM本身也会产生风险。如何传达结果和结论很重要。本文描述了九种科学文章及其官方新闻稿不准确地传达结果的情况:不恰当地将SRM与温室气体浓度未升高的参考世界进行比较;关注SRM无法完全消除的残留气候异常;将可预测的有害假设实施制度推广到所有可能的SRM;或报告该文件没有证实的结论。值得注意的是,每一种情况都过度放大了SRM的明显风险和局限性。总的来说,它们可能会扭曲SRM的沟通,并对科学评估、新闻报道和政策讨论造成负面影响。这篇文章解释了为什么SRM科学家及其官方沟通者有时会不准确地传达他们的结果,以及他们和其他人应该如何回应。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Communication of solar geoengineering science: Forms, examples, and explanation of skewing
Although a judicious use of solar radiation modification (SRM, or solar geoengineering) appears able to reduce climate change, SRM would create risks of its own. How results and conclusions are conveyed is important. This article describes nine cases in which scientific articles and their official press releases communicate results inaccurately: by inappropriately comparing SRM with a reference world of non-elevated greenhouse gas concentrations; focusing on the residual climatic anomalies that SRM would not entirely eliminate; generalizing a predictably harmful assumed implementation regime to all possible SRM; or reporting conclusions that the paper does not substantiate. Notably, each of these cases unduly amplifies SRM’s apparent risks and limitations. Collectively they may skew SRM communication and cause negative impacts on scientific assessments, news reporting, and policy discussions. The article suggests explanations for why SRM scientists and their official communicators sometimes inaccurately convey their results as well as how they and others should respond.
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