茶叶出口竞争力及茶叶出口与经济增长的关系:以孟加拉国、印度和斯里兰卡为例

IF 0.9 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
Md. Sayemul Islam, Nishat Sultana Ema, Sudipto Chakrobortty, Hasneen Jahan, M. Hossain
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引用次数: 3

摘要

茶叶出口竞争力以及茶叶出口与经济增长之间的关系:以孟加拉国、印度和斯里兰卡为例自英属印度政权结束以来,孟加拉国、印度、斯里兰卡生产了大量茶叶,并继续通过出口为其带来宝贵的外汇收入。本文采用揭示对称比较优势指数(RSCA)对这些国家的茶叶出口竞争力进行了探讨,并采用几种动态计量方法分析了1980-2018年茶叶出口与经济增长之间的关系。结果表明,孟加拉国在过去十年中已经失去了茶叶出口竞争力。印度表现平平,而斯里兰卡则一直保持着主导地位。此外,Johansen协整检验结果显示,所有国家的茶叶出口与经济增长之间没有长期关系。格兰杰因果关系结果表明,只有在斯里兰卡,茶叶出口才会导致短期经济增长。最后,脉冲响应函数预测茶叶出口和经济增长,考虑了两者对另一方冲击的反应。结果推断表明,与孟加拉国和印度(没有发现直接关系)的情况相比,斯里兰卡的茶叶出口和经济增长密切相关。本文进一步建议采取有效的政策,使这些国家的经济增长保持稳定,并使其茶产业蓬勃发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Tea export competitiveness and the nexus between tea export and economic growth: The cases of Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka
Tea export competitiveness and the nexus between tea export and economic growth: The cases of Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka Long since the end of the British India regime, Bangladesh, India, and Sri Lanka have produced a signifi cant volume of tea which continues to bring them invaluable foreign currency earnings through exports. Our paper explores the tea export competitiveness of these countries by employing the Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA) index, and analyses the nexus between tea export and economic growth over the period from 1980 to 2018 using several dynamic econometric approaches. Results suggest that Bangladesh has lost its tea export competitiveness over the last decade. India posted moderate performance, while Sri Lanka consistently kept its dominant position. Further, the Johansen Cointegration test outcomes report no long-run relationship between tea export and economic growth across all the countries. The Granger Causality outcomes illustrate that only in Sri Lanka is it the case that tea export causes short-run economic growth. Lastly, the impulse response function projects tea export and economic growth, taking into consideration the response of each to a shock from the other. Extrapolation from the results indicate that, in contrast to the cases of Bangladesh and India (where no direct relationship was found), tea export and economic growth are intimately interconnected in Sri Lanka. This article further recommends eff ective policies so that economic growth in these countries can remain steady and that their tea industries can thrive.
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来源期刊
Studies in Agricultural Economics
Studies in Agricultural Economics AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
8.30%
发文量
11
审稿时长
13 weeks
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