石油价格与环境退化的非对称动力学——来自巴基斯坦的证据

I. Chaudhry, M. Azali, M. Faheem, Sajid Ali
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引用次数: 16

摘要

本研究的主要目的是探讨1975-2018年期间石油价格对巴基斯坦环境退化的不对称影响。该研究采用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)方法来检验石油价格与二氧化碳(CO2)排放的不对称联系,二氧化碳代表了环境退化以及总资本形成、能源消耗、外国直接投资和人口。NARDL结果表明,将石油价格分解为正变化和负变化时,石油价格的影响是不同的,石油价格下跌对巴基斯坦环境退化的影响更大。其他变量,外国直接投资、能源消耗和人口,对二氧化碳排放有积极而显著的影响。该研究揭示了石油和其他变量与环境之间的不对称关系,为政策制定者和政府官员提供了政策,这将有助于巴基斯坦的政策制定。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Asymmetric Dynamics of Oil Price and Environmental Degradation: Evidence from Pakistan
The main objective of the study is to explore asymmetric impact of oil price on environmental degradation in Pakistan over the period 1975-2018. The study employs the nonlinear autoregressive distributive lag (NARDL) method to check the asymmetric connection of oil price with carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions which represents environmental degradation along with gross capital formation, energy consumption, foreign direct investment and population. The NARDL result expresses that there is different effect of oil price as we break it into positive and negative changes, and decrease in oil price has a greater effect on environmental degradation in Pakistan. The other variables, FDI and energy consumption and population, have a positive and significant effect on CO2 emission. The study provides the policies for policymakers and government officials after uncovering the asymmetric relationship between oil and other variables with an environment that would be helpful in policymaking for Pakistan.
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