Associations between the inflammatory potential of diets with adherence to plant-based dietary patterns and the risk of new-onset cardiometabolic diseases in Chinese adults: findings from a nation-wide prospective cohort study†

Aims: convincing evidence is still limited for the validation of associations between the inflammatory potential of diets, based on the dietary inflammatory index (DII), and cardiometabolic outcomes. We aimed to investigate the associations between the DII with adherence to plant-based dietary patterns and the risk of new-onset cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs), including stroke, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and myocardial infarction (MI). Methods: adults (N = 14 652) from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (1997–2015) were included in the current analysis. Dietary intake data were collected using a combination of 3 day consecutive 24 h dietary recalls and the food weighing method. The DII was calculated with established and validated methods. CMDs were identified using validated self-reported questionnaires. The Cox proportional hazard regression model was used for statistical analysis. Results: during a mean follow-up of 10 years, a total of 404 new-onset stroke, 1051 new-onset T2DM and 280 new-onset MI cases were identified. Lower PDI, hPDI, ERD, WISH and PHDI scores and higher uPDI scores were associated with higher DII scores (all P-trend < 0. 0001). A pro-inflammatory diet, as reflected by relatively higher DII scores, was positively associated with an increased risk of stroke (Q5 vs. Q1: HR = 1.90; 95% CI: 1.26–2.88; P-trend = 0.0006), T2DM (Q5 vs. Q1: HR = 2.08; 95% CI: 1.61–2.69; P-trend < 0.0001) and MI (Q5 vs. Q1: HR = 1.70; 95% CI: 1.04–2.76; P-trend = 0.0114) in the entire cohort. Sex and BMI significantly modified the association between the DII and the risk of T2DM, and sex significantly modified the association between the DII and the risk of MI. Conclusions: lower adherence to healthy and sustainable plant-based dietary patterns and higher adherence to unhealthy plant-based dietary patterns were associated with higher DII scores. With the use of the DII, we reported long-term positive associations between a pro-inflammatory diet and an increased risk of new-onset stroke, T2DM and MI in Chinese adults who were free from CMDs and cancer at the baseline. These findings provided evidence for the validation of associations between the DII and cardiometabolic health, and contributed to the current literature suggesting careful evaluations of whether the DII should be incorporated into dietary guidelines and utilized as an effective tool for improving the diet quality and CMD prevention in the Chinese population.