1850-1930年美国生育率下降:来自完整计数数据集的新证据。

Q4 Social Sciences

Annales de Demographie Historique Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI:10.3917/adh.138.0143

J David Hacker, Evan Roberts

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引用次数: 5

摘要

1835年至1935年间，美国的总生育率从7.0下降到2.1。新的IPUMS完整计数微数据数据库，包括1850年、1880年、1910年和1930年的美国人口普查，使我们能够比以前更详细地研究生育率下降。我们构建了结合各种经济、社会、文化和家庭因素的夫妇生育能力的综合模型，包括父母的宗教信仰和家庭以外的亲属可用性。研究结果表明，虽然职业结构的转变和人口城市化的增加对这一时期生育率的下降做出了最一致和最实质性的贡献，但文化和宗教态度——以父母的出生地和孩子的命名习惯为代表——在夫妇的生育决定中发挥了主要作用。

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Fertility decline in the United States, 1850-1930: New Evidence from Complete-Count Datasets.

Between 1835 and 1935, total fertility in the United States fell from 7.0 to 2.1. New IPUMS complete-count microdata databases of the 1850, 1880, 1910, and 1930 U. S. censuses allow us to study the fertility decline in more detail than previously possible. We construct comprehensive models of couples' fertility incorporating a wide variety of economic, social, cultural and familial factors, including measures of parental religiosity and kin availability outside of the household. The results indicate that while shifts in the occupational structure and increasing urbanization of the population provide the most consistent and substantive contribution to fertility decline over the period, cultural and religious attitudes - as proxied by parents' nativities and child naming practices - played a major role in couples' childbearing decisions.

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来源期刊

Annales de Demographie Historique Social Sciences-Demography

CiteScore

0.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Fondées en 1964 par la Société de Démographie Historique, les Annales de démographie historique, seule revue francophone du domaine, publient des recherches internationales en français et en anglais sur l"histoire, ou plutôt les histoires, de la population et de la famille telles qu"elles se présentent aujourd’hui : des travaux soucieux de leurs méthodes et de leurs catégories da"nalyse, des approches largement ouvertes sur l"histoire sociale et l"histoire de la santé, attentives aux apports de l’anthropologie comme de l"économie. Les Annales de démographie historique sont publiées avec le soutien du CNRS.