对医疗保健技术评估的实物期权方法的扩展:正电子发射断层扫描的案例。

Paolo Pertile
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引用次数: 20

摘要

本文旨在将选择值纳入正电子发射断层扫描(PET)的经济评价中。这种设备的安装需要大量的资本支出,而不确定性,特别是关于新的应用的可能性,是相关的,因为现有的证据仍然不足。将提供的检查次数视为随机变量,成本效益分析得到扩展,包括投资时间和项目规模方面的灵活性价值。根据这种方法,获得了保证PET扫描成本效益的随机变量的阈值作为增量有效性值的函数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An extension of the real option approach to the evaluation of health care technologies: the case of positron emission tomography.

This paper aims to incorporate option values into the economic evaluation of positron emission tomography (PET). The installation of this equipment requires a substantial capital outlay, while uncertainty, especially regarding the possibility of new applications, is relevant, because the evidence available is still insufficient. Treating the number of examinations to provide as a stochastic variable, the cost-effectiveness analysis is extended to include the value of flexibility both with respect to the timing of investment and to the size of the project. The threshold values of the stochastic variable that ensure the cost-effectiveness of a PET scan according to this approach are obtained as a function of the value of the incremental effectiveness.

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