神经外科医生对博弈论的简短回顾。

Central European Neurosurgery Pub Date : 2011-02-01 Epub Date: 2010-05-17 DOI:10.1055/s-0029-1246132
H-J Steiger, U R Steiger
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引用次数: 6

摘要

总的来说,神经外科和医学越来越受经济因素和考虑的支配。医生自己也部分采用了经济学术语,尽管他们很少有深刻的经济学知识。今天,博弈论是推动微观经济学的最重要因素之一,微观经济学是指一小群个人对有限资源的竞争。本文的目的是简要介绍博弈论及其在医疗保健系统中的应用。囚徒困境考虑的是两个人之间的策略。在经典版本中,两个窃贼被抓住。如果对方不认罪,双方都可以认罪并被释放——后者将被判长期监禁。如果双方都招供,两人都会被判中等刑期,如果没有人招供,两人都会被判较轻的刑期。他们都想从监狱里被释放,他们都认罪了,并被判了中期监禁。约翰·冯·诺伊曼(John von Neumann)最初在1928年描述了这一显著的结果,表明个人的理性行为会导致两个人的情况都变得更糟,这对现代社会科学产生了重大影响。其他情况则更为复杂。纳什均衡是一个更广泛的概念。如果存在这样一组策略,即在其他参与者保持策略不变的情况下,任何参与者都无法通过改变策略而获益,那么这组策略及其相应的收益就构成了纳什均衡。社会学中另一个特别重要的概念是帕累托标准。如果没有人能在不让别人变坏的情况下变得更好,那么这个结果就是帕累托最优。尊重这些基本原则是交易和合作项目成功的必要前提。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A short review of game theory for neurosurgeons.

Neurosurgery and medicine in general are increasingly dominated by economic factors and considerations. Physicians themselves have partially adopted economic terminology, although they rarely have a profound knowledge of economics. Today game theory is one of the most important factors driving microeconomics, which is the competition for limited resources within a small group of individuals. The purpose of this article is to give a short introduction to game theory and its application to the healthcare system. The Prisoner's Dilemma considers strategies between two persons. In the classic version two burglars are caught. Each could confess and be released from jail if the other does not confess--who will then get a long term in prison. If both confess, both get an intermediate time in jail, and if no one confesses, both get a mild sentence. Wanting to be released from jail, they both confess and get the intermediate term in prison. This remarkable result, initially described by John von Neumann in 1928 and showing that individually rational actions can result in both persons becoming worse off, had a great impact on modern social science. Other scenarios are more complex. The Nash Equilibrium is a wider concept. If there is a set of strategies with the property that no player can benefit by changing his strategy while the other players keep their strategies unchanged, then that set of strategies and the corresponding payoffs constitute the Nash Equilibrium. Another concept particularly important in sociology is the Pareto criterion. If no one can be made better off without making somebody else worse off, then that outcome is Pareto optimal. Respecting these basic principles is a necessary precondition for successful deals and cooperative projects.

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Central European Neurosurgery
Central European Neurosurgery CLINICAL NEUROLOGY-NEUROSCIENCES
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