1880-1999年大联盟的出生季节性。

Social biology Pub Date : 2005-02-01
Ernest L Abel, Michael L Kruger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了两种不同的解释,一种是人口统计学的,另一种是社会学的,以解释1880年至1999年间美国职业棒球大联盟(MLB)活跃球员出生月份的不均匀分布。从1900年开始,出生在8月到10月之间的球员比例明显过高,这种不平衡的分布在接下来的5个20年里几乎是一样的。在过去20年期间(1980-1999年),出生月份的差异变得更加明显。种族、惯用手、球员位置、成就(获奖)和职业生涯长度与出生月份没有显著相关。在1980年之前,美国职业棒球大联盟球员的出生分布与一般人群的出生分布没有显著差异,但在1980年之后,情况发生了变化。我们的结论是,直到1980年,MLB出生月份的不均匀分布源于美国人口季节性相关的8月和9月出生人数过多。从20世纪80年代开始,这种季节性模式在制度上得到了加强,因为少年棒球联盟和相关少年棒球联盟的影响力越来越大,他们依赖于8月1日的出生日期来划分年龄组。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Seasonality of birth in the majors, 1880-1999.

We examined two alternative explanations, one demographic, the other sociological, for the uneven distribution of birth months of Major League baseball (MLB) players active between 1880 and 1999. Beginning in 1900, players born between August and October were significantly overrepresented, and this uneven distribution was almost identical for the next five 20-year periods. During the last 20-year period (1980-1999), the disparity in birth months became even more pronounced. Ethnicity, handedness, player position, accomplishment (winning an award), and career length were not significantly related to birth month. Prior to 1980, the distribution of births for MLB players did not differ significantly from the distribution for the general population, but after 1980, it did. We concluded that up until 1980, the uneven distribution of birth months in MLB originated in the demographic seasonality-related excess number of births in August and September in the United States. Beginning in the 1980s, this seasonality pattern was institutionally reinforced by the growing influence of Little League and related junior baseball leagues and their reliance on the August 1 birth date for age grouping.

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