{"title":"区域人口预测:多基点方法。","authors":"P Korcelli","doi":"","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Some alternative population projections are presented for Poland's major regions, based on a series of selected base years from 1977 to 1985. The author \"interprets the corresponding observed demographic patterns as alternative model patterns on which consecutive projection runs are based.\" The projections, which are extended to 2050, exclude estimates for international migration.</p>","PeriodicalId":46250,"journal":{"name":"Geographia Polonica","volume":" 59","pages":"21-32"},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"1992-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Regional population projections: a multiple base-point approach.\",\"authors\":\"P Korcelli\",\"doi\":\"\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Some alternative population projections are presented for Poland's major regions, based on a series of selected base years from 1977 to 1985. The author \\\"interprets the corresponding observed demographic patterns as alternative model patterns on which consecutive projection runs are based.\\\" The projections, which are extended to 2050, exclude estimates for international migration.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46250,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Geographia Polonica\",\"volume\":\" 59\",\"pages\":\"21-32\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"1992-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Geographia Polonica\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOGRAPHY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Geographia Polonica","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"GEOGRAPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Regional population projections: a multiple base-point approach.
Some alternative population projections are presented for Poland's major regions, based on a series of selected base years from 1977 to 1985. The author "interprets the corresponding observed demographic patterns as alternative model patterns on which consecutive projection runs are based." The projections, which are extended to 2050, exclude estimates for international migration.