生育率、移民和人口老龄化——对官方预测的分析。

People and place Pub Date : 1998-01-01

K Betts

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引用次数: 0

摘要

“随着我们经历人口转型，年龄结构的老龄化是不可避免的，但未来可能出现的情况有所不同....这篇论文分析了澳大利亚统计局(ABS)发布的9项不同的人口预测，其中4项是1996年的，5项是1998年的。最高的投影…到2051年将增加1000万人口，而最低的…增加了没有。”

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Fertility, migration, and the ageing of the population--an analysis of the official projections.

"As we move through the demographic transition, an older age structure is inevitable but future possible scenarios vary.... The paper analyses nine different population projections produced by the ABS [Australian Bureau of Statistics], four in 1996 and five in 1998. The highest projection...adds an extra ten million people by the year 2051 while the lowest...adds none."

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People and place

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