石油依赖会导致能源风险吗?

IF 8 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS
Bekhzod Kuziboev , Elbek Khodjaniyazov , Ilhan Ozturk , Khamid Sabirov , Samariddin Makhmudov , Sarbinaz Utegenova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

如今,能源风险问题在世界范围内变得越来越普遍。特别是,石油依赖问题提高了人们的认识。由于缺乏能量风险变量,以前的研究对这一问题提供的背景非常有限。在此背景下,本研究是一个先行者,因为它利用2000年至2021年的年度数据,对84个国家的石油依赖对能源风险的影响进行了实证评估,这是一个前所未有的新变量。在世界和发展阶段的样本中,采用矩量分位数回归方法(MMQR)进行估计,该方法使我们能够在能源风险的各个分位数上估计石油依赖对能源风险的影响。研究结果表明,世界各国和发展中国家对石油资源的依赖导致能源风险,而发达国家对石油资源的依赖不会导致能源风险。我们认为,发达国家凭借其先进的技术能力和强有力的国际合作,已经采用了各种替代能源。因此,由于能源消费对各种能源的依赖减轻了对石油的依赖,因此作为政策意义,建议加强能源多样化。此外,我们强调技术进步的重要性,因为它决定了能源和石油的有效和最低限度的使用,这两者都取决于技术进步的水平。此外,加强国际组织对能源合作的参与对于管理有效的能源分配至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does oil dependence cause energy risk?
These days, the issue of energy risk is becoming more prevalent worldwide. Particularly, the issue of oil dependence raises awareness. The previous studies provide very limited background to this issue because of the absence of an energy risk variable. In this context, this study is a pioneer as it empirically assesses the effect of oil dependence on energy risk, a novel variable that has never been applied before, in 84 countries using annual data from 2000 to 2021. The estimations are conducted in the sample of the world and development stage, employing the Method of Moments Quantile Regression (MMQR), which allows us to estimate the impact of oil dependence on energy risk at various quantiles of energy risk. The findings reveal that dependence on oil resources leads to energy risk in the world and developing countries, whereas in developed countries oil dependence does not cause energy risk. We assume that developed countries, with their advanced technological capabilities and strong international collaboration, have adopted various alternative energy sources. Therefore, as policy implications, enhancing energy source diversification is suggested since dependence of energy consumption on various sources mitigates oil dependence, thus energy risk. Furthermore, we emphasize the significance of technological progress, as it determines the efficient and minimal use of energy resources and oil, both of which depend on the level of technological advancement. Furthermore, enhancing the involvement of international organizations in energy cooperation is crucial for managing effective energy distribution.
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来源期刊
Energy nexus
Energy nexus Energy (General), Ecological Modelling, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Water Science and Technology, Agricultural and Biological Sciences (General)
CiteScore
7.70
自引率
0.00%
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0
审稿时长
109 days
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