“一带一路”倡议如何提升中国产品出口潜力:全球价值链视角

IF 2.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Liang Zhang, Dahai Fu, Chengjun Wu, Yuanyuan Liu, Yanle Xi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究从产品层面考察了“一带一路”倡议对中国出口潜力的影响。利用国际信息展望研究中心-国际商业分析基地(CEPII-BACI)的国家产品层面数据(包括2007年至2022年196个经济体的5049种产品类型),从全球价值链的角度探讨了“一带一路”的贸易影响及其机制。结果表明,“一带一路”倡议显著提升了中国对沿线国家的产品出口潜力。“一带一路”对资本品、劳动和资本密集型产业的影响最大。这种影响在中国对东南亚、南亚和欧洲的出口中最为明显。机制分析表明,“一带一路”改善了沿线国家在全球价值链中的分工,增强了中国在沿线国家产出供应链中的地位,促进了中国出口增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
How Does the Belt and Road Initiative Improve China's Product Export Potential: A Global Value Chain Perspective

This study examines the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on China's export potential at the product level. Using country–product-level data from the Centre d'Etudes Prospectives d'Informations Internationales-Base pour l'Analyse du Commerce International (CEPII-BACI), which includes 5,049 product types across 196 economies from 2007 to 2022, it explores the trade effects of the BRI and its mechanisms from the perspective of global value chains. The results indicate that the BRI has increased China's product export potential significantly to participating countires. The BRI has had the greatest impact on capital goods and labor- and capital-intensive industries. The effect has been most pronounced in China's exports to Southeast Asia, South Asia, and Europe. The mechanism analysis reveals that the BRI has improved the division of labor in the global value chains for participating countries along the BRI, strengthened China's position in their output supply chains, and stimulated the growth of China's exports.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
12.90%
发文量
391
期刊介绍: The bi-monthly China & World Economy was launched in 1993 by the Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS). It is the only English-language journal in China devoted to the topic of the Chinese economy. The journal aims to provide foreign readers with an objective, impartial, analytical and up-to-date account of the problems faced and progress made by China in its interaction with the world economy. Among its contributors are many distinguished Chinese economists from both academic and government circles. As such, it has become a unique window on China and is essential reading for all those concerned with China"s development.
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